Scotland vs Italy Predictions & Tips - Scotland to give Italy a hiding at Murrayfield

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 19 Mar 2021

Ralph Staniforth 19 Mar 2021

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Scotland vs Italy predictions for Saturday’s Six Nations encounter
Match is being played at 16:15 SAST at Murrayfield
Italy have lost by more than 27 points in 3 of their last 4 outings
I'm backing Scotland to cover the -27 point handicap
Betting tips, predictions and team news for Scotland vs Italy

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Scotland vs Italy Predictions

Scotland may not be able to win the Six Nations, but they will want to give their all to end the campaign. Every side bar England have beaten Italy by more than 27 points in the 2021 Six Nations tournament. My tip is for Scotland to cover the -27 point handicap with ease.

Scotland have won their last 9 matches against Italy.
Scotland have conceded just 27 points in their last 3 home matches against Italy.
Italy have lost 11 of their last 12 matches.
Italy have lost by 40, 23, 38 & 41 points in their last 4 matches.

Head to Head

Scotland have won their last nine matches against Italy.

They met twice in 2020 with Scotland winning 17-0 during the 2020 Six Nations and 28-17 in the 2020 Autumn Nations Cup. Both matches were played in Italy.

Scotland Form

Scotland have been good during the 2021 Six Nations but they have not had much luck. Going into the final scheduled match, they have only managed one victory from their opening three matches.

Scotland’s week three fixture against France was postponed and no date has been set for the match as yet. The Scots are however out of contention for the title but will want to end on a high.

After a historical 11-6 away win over England on the opening weekend, Scotland lost 25-24 at home to Wales. That was despite dominating the match until they had to play with 14 men after a red card was issued.

This past weekend, Scotland lost 27-24 at home to Ireland. It was another match that the Scots will believe they should have won.

Scotland Injuries & Team News

Scotland head coach, Gregor Townsend has made six changes to his starting lineup to face Italy.

Flyhalf, Finn Russell has not had enough time to recover from concussion protocols so Stuart Hogg will start in the number 10 jersey.

A new-look front-row will also appear with David Cherry, Rory Sutherland and Zander Fagerson all getting the nod to start.

Sean Maitland shifts to fullback with Hogg starting at flyhalf.

Italy Form

Italy have been uninspiring in the 2021 Six Nations. This has perhaps been their worst season over the last five years.

Italy are perennial bottom feeders in the Six Nations but the losing margins have been huge this season. They lost 50-10 to France, 41-18 to England, 48-10 to Ireland and 48-7 to Wales in their last match.

Going into this fixture, Italy coach, Franco Smith will hope to put in some sort of performance. It is however difficult to see them turn around the recent run of results.

Italy Injuries & Team News

Franco Smith looks set to stick with a similar team to the one that started last weekend. They are building a young squad, and while it is coming at the cost of some poor results, they will stick with it for the last match.

Scotland vs Italy Live Stream FAQ

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Our live streaming calendar shows you where to watch the Scotland vs Italy live stream.

Verdict

Scotland v Italy

Italy are experiencing an awful Six Nations campaign and Scotland have the ability to win the encounter by more than 27 points.

Scotland -27 Handicap

Handicap

@1/1 - 3 Units

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