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Clara Tauson vs Elena Rybakina Predictions - Rybakina backed to win tight encounter

john-eastwood
John Eastwood
Editor
Last updated: 05 Jul 2025

Elena Rybakina's impressive Wimbledon track record and her strong performances against top-50 players make her the anticipated favorite against Clara Tauson. Rybakina remains undefeated in third-round matches at Wimbledon with a 4-0 record. Meanwhile, Tauson is showing progress this year with a notable win at Auckland and a finals appearance in Dubai. However, her struggle against top-20 players and Grand Slam third rounds persists. Tauson has improved her grass-court skills, but Rybakina's reliability on grass courts is a formidable hurdle, though Tauson might still manage a competitive showing.

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John Eastwood 05 Jul 2025
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  • Elena Rybakina holds a perfect record in Wimbledon 3rd rounds.
  • Clara Tauson is 0-3 in Grand Slam 3rd-round matches.
  • Rybakina's strong 2025 form gives her the upper hand.
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Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina aims to continue her strong Wimbledon run in a tricky third-round test against Clara Tauson. (credit: Getty)

Clara Tauson vs Elena Rybakina Predictions


Elena Rybakina’s proven track record at Wimbledon and strong form against top-50 players make her the likely favorite in this matchup. With a perfect third-round record at the All England Club, she enters with a notable advantage over Clara Tauson, who is still seeking her first win at this stage of a Grand Slam.

  • Clara Tauson has a 6–20 career record against top 20 players.
  • She is 0–3 in third-round matches at Grand Slams.
  • Elena Rybakina has never lost a third-round match at Wimbledon, holding a perfect 4–0 record.
  • She has a 14–9 win-loss record against top 50 players in 2025.

Head to Head


Rybakina has won both previous matches agaisnt Tauson. They last met in 2024 on hard court, a match Rybakina won in three sets.

Clara Tauson Recent Form


Clara Tauson advanced to the third round at Wimbledon with a composed straight-sets win over Anna Kalinskaya, 6-3, 7-6. The 22-year-old Dane impressed with 11 aces and faced only one break point in the match.

The victory improved her grass-court record in 2025 to 5–2, marking a significant step forward for a player who had never won a tour-level match on grass before this season.

Tauson began the year in strong form, winning 15 matches across her first four tournaments. She claimed the title in Auckland and reached the final in Dubai. However, her momentum faded in the months that followed, managing just nine wins from her next nine events.

She has played three third-round matches at Grand Slam level and has yet to win one, including two losses this year at the Australian Open and French Open—both against top-20 opponents.

Heading into this matchup, Tauson holds a 6–20 career record against top-20 players, with three of those victories coming this season.

Elena Rybakina Recent Form


Elena Rybakina has been in commanding form this week, winning both of her matches with ease. After a routine win over Elina Avanesyan in the opening round, she swept past former world No. 3 Maria Sakkari, 6-3, 6-1.

The Kazakh has built a strong resume at Wimbledon, having reached at least the second week in all four of her main draw appearances. That run includes three consecutive quarterfinal or better finishes.

While she hasn't fully hit peak form in 2025, Rybakina has maintained a high level throughout the season. She has reached the quarterfinals or better at six tournaments this year, including two strong showings during the grass swing in Berlin and at the Queen’s Club.

She owns a 9–4 record in third-round matches at Grand Slams and has won each of her last four, all in straight sets.

Verdict

Clara Tauson has already secured a spot in the live top 20 and has shown clear improvement this season. However, that progress may not be enough against Elena Rybakina, one of the most accomplished and reliable performers on grass.
 
The Kazakh is expected to prevail in this matchup, but Tauson may be good enough to keep things tight and win a fair number of games herself.

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05 Jul 2025

Clara Tauson v Elena Rybakina

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