Bordeaux vs Toulouse Predictions - Toulouse to win Champions Cup thriller

Simon Lewis

Editor

Last updated: 02 May 2025

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Simon Lewis 02 May 2025

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Bordeaux beat Toulouse in March, boosting their confidence.
Bordeaux is second in Top 14 and reached another European semi-final.
Toulouse, defending Champions Cup winners, leads Top 14 by 10 points.

Toulouse have won their last 5 matches. (Getty Images)

Bordeaux vs Toulouse Predictions

This has all the makings of a classic semi-final. Both teams are in good form and the fact that Bordeaux are at home makes all that much more interesting. This could go either way, but I am backing Toulouse to come out on top and cover the -2.5 handicap.

Bordeaux vs Toulouse Predictions
Head to Head
Bordeaux Form
Bordeaux Injuries & Team News
Toulouse Form
Toulouse Injuries & Team News

Bordeaux beat Toulouse in their last encounter.
Bordeaux have won 4 of their last 5 home matches.
Toulouse have won their last 5 matches.
Toulouse are the defending Champions Cup winners.
Toulouse have won their last 2 away matches by 3 & 6 points.

Head to Head

While Toulouse have dominated this fixture in recent years, Bordeaux won their last match towards the end of March this year. It ended 32-24 in favour of Bordeaux on home soil.

Bordeaux Form

Bordeaux are having yet another superb season across all fronts. They are second in the Top 14, behind only Toulouse and have reached yet another European semi-final.

The dominance of Bordeaux in the Champions Cup has secured them a home semi which makes this game all the more interesting. In the last 16 and quarter-final, Bordeaux beat Ulster and Munster at home.

They lost last week in the Top 14 at home to La Rochelle after resting key players for this game. In late March, Bordeaux beat Toulouse 32-24 at home, so that will give them plenty of confidence.

Bordeaux Injuries & Team News

Bordeaux will make plenty of changes from the side that lost to La Rochelle last week. The team, barring further injury, should look more like that one that beat Munster in the quarterfinal.

Toulouse Form

Toulouse has dominated French rugby for a few years now and are the defending European Champions Cup champions. They beat Leinster in the 2023/24 final.

The double winners from last year are looking to repeat that feat this season, leading the Top 14 by 10 points and with a chance to make another final on Sunday. Toulouse beat Sale and Toulon to reach the semi-final with the away win over Toulon ending 21-18.

The last two Top 14 games have also been won. Toulouse beat Stade Francais 27-21 and thrashed Castres 52-6 this last weekend.

Toulouse Injuries & Team News

Toulouse will be at full strength for this fixture with a few players returning after being rested at the weekend against Castres.

Verdict

Bordeaux v Toulouse

I am backing Toulouse to win and cover the -2.5 handicap in what is expected to be a superb game of rugby.

Toulouse Win

Result

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Toulouse -2.5

Handicap

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