Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki Predictions - Upset on the cards in NPC quarterfinal
The upcoming match between Hawkes Bay and Taranaki promises to be a thrilling encounter. Hawkes Bay enters the game as favorites, boasting strong recent performances with four wins in their last five matches. However, Taranaki has a formidable record against them, winning the last four face-offs, including a recent 38-24 victory. Although Taranaki has had a mixed form leading up to this match, they are expected to cover the +2.5 spread and potentially achieve another upset. With both teams likely to make strategic changes, this contest is poised to go down to the wire.
- Hawkes Bay won 4 of last 5 matches, favored to win.
- Taranaki strong head-to-head, winning last 4 vs. Hawkes Bay.
- Expect Taranaki to cover +2.5 points, potential upset.
Taranaki have won their last four games against their hosts (Getty Images)
Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki Predictions
This is set to be a cracker with the hosts as favourites. However, Taranaki have a very good record against the hosts, winning the last four encounters. I am backing this to go down to the wire with Taranaki to cover +2.5 and perhaps get an upset win.
- Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki Predictions
- Head to Head
- Hawkes Bay Form
- Hawkes Bay Team News
- Taranaki Form
- Taranaki Team News
- Hawkes Bay have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Taranaki have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Taranaki have won their last 4 matches against Hawkes Bay.
Head to Head
Taranaki have won their last four matches against Hawkes Bay. These two met earlier this season on 19 September with Taranaki winning 38-24 at home.
Hawkes Bay Form
Hawkes Bay secured fourth place on the 2025 NPC table with seven wins and three losses in 10 matches. Their 35 points was just one shy of third place.
Over their final five matches of the campaign, Hawkes Bay won four, their only defeat coming in mid-September away to Taranaki – 38-24. They will hope to turn the tables on home soil this weekend.
Since that defeat, Hawkes Bay have beaten Auckland 45-28 at home and Manawatu 38-10 away last weekend.
Hawkes Bay Team News
I expect a few changes to the Hawkes Bay side from last weekend.
Taranaki Form
Taranaki finished fifth on the table, three points behind their opponents with six wins in 10 matches and eight bonus points in their 10 games.
Three of their last five matches in the NPC ended in defeat. They went down to Bay of Plenty and Otago before winning against Hawkes Bay at home. That was followed by a 39-20 home win over Wellington.
Last weekend, Taranaki fell short against Canterbury away from home, losing 34-14.
Taranaki Team News
Form has not been with Taranaki of late and last week’s result was poor. There will almost surely be a few changes.
Verdict
Taranaki are backed to win or at least get within 2.5 points.
Taranaki +2.5
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