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Montpellier vs Connacht Predictions - Montpellier set to beat Connacht in Challenge Cup quarter-final

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 1 hour ago

Brad Newcomb 1 hour ago

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Montpellier boasts eight consecutive home wins, including a recent close win over Connacht.
Connacht are on a six-game winning streak but struggles with consistency away from home.
Montpellier are favoured to cover the handicap.

Montpellier have consistently won at home this season (Getty Images)

Montpellier have performed well in this edition of the EPCR Challenge Cup and are on a lengthy winning streak at home. Connacht have found form in recent outings but did lose to Montpellier during the pool stages of the competition.

Montpellier have won 5 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
Montpellier have won 8 consecutive home games in all competitions.
Montpellier have won 2 consecutive home matches against Connacht.
Connacht have won 6 consecutive games in all competitions.
Connacht have won 2 of their last 5 away matches in all competitions.

Head to Head

Montpellier have a slight edge with two victories to one against Connacht in three meetings.

Montpellier defeated Connacht 33-31 at home during the pool stages of the 2025/26 EPCR Challenge Cup.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier were in great touch in the second half against Perpignan in their European Challenge Cup round of 16 match last weekend, winning 53-13 after leading 17-6 at half-time.

Montpellier won all their EPCR Challenge Cup Pool 1 fixtures. They defeated Black Lion 24-13 away, Zebre 31-7 at home, Connacht 33-31 at home, and the Ospreys 31-26 away.

Montpellier played two home fixtures in the Top 14 since the qualifiers. They beat Stade Francais 44-7 and Racing 92 41-17.

Montpellier have been in excellent form during the competition, and have won eight in a row at home, including edging Connacht earlier this year, giving them the advantage to progress to the semi-finals.

Connacht Form

Connacht scored 22 unanswered points in the second half against the Sharks to win their EPCR Challenge Cup round of 16 match 29-12 last weekend after trailing 12-7 at the break.

Connacht had mixed results during their European Challenge Cup pool stage qualifiers. They lost 24-21 to the Ospreys away from home, thumped Black Lion 52-0 at home, and lost 33-31 to Montpellier away before thrashing Montauban 75-14 at home.

Connacht have won two away matches in the URC since reaching the knockout rounds of the competition. They defeated Zebre 31-15 and Ulster 26-19.

Connacht have come good in recent outings, winning six in a row, but they have lacked consistency away from home this season, and have lost their two visits to Montpellier.