Dragons vs Scarlets Predictions - Dragons set to win third consecutive home game in derby clash

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 5 minutes ago

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Dragons strong at home with recent wins.
Scarlets struggle on the road, losing 5 of last 6.
Dragons predicted to cover the +4.5 handicap.

Dragons have won their last two home matches (Getty Images)

Dragons have shown improvement at home in recent outings. The Scarlets have struggled to win on the road lately, but have had success against the Dragons in recent matchups.

Dragons have won 2 of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions.
Dragons have won 2 consecutive home games in all competitions.
Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 home games against the Scarlets.
Scarlets have lost 5 of their last 6 away fixtures in all competitions.
Scarlets have won 3 consecutive matches against the Dragons.

Head to Head

The Scarlets have a commanding lead of 28 victories to ten against the Dragons in 38 meetings.

Dragons Form

The Dragons scored two tries and a conversion in the first half against Cardiff last weekend to go into the break with the score level at 12-12.

The Dragons were awarded a penalty try in the second half, but it was not enough to get the result, losing 22-19 away to Cardiff.

The Dragons lost 24-17 to Cardiff, drew 19-19 with the Ospreys, and lost 24-10 to Leinster before defeating Lyon 23-21 and Connacht 48-28 in their last five home fixtures in all competitions.

The Dragons are 15th in the United Rugby Championship standings with 11 points from eight matches.

The Dragons will have the belief they can get the victory against the Scarlets, as they have won their last two home games, and have defeated the Scarlets in three of their five clashes in their own backyard.

Scarlets Form

The Scarlets scored a solitary converted try in the first half against the Ospreys last weekend to trail 14-7 at half-time.

The Scarlets added two tries and a conversion to their total in the second half but lost 26-19 to the Ospreys at home.

The Scarlets have battled to win away in their last five outings in all competitions. They lost 33-21 to Leinster, 29-18 to the Lions, 29-19 to the Sharks, and 50-21 to Bordeaux before defeating Cardiff 21-17.

The Scarlets are last in the United Rugby Championship table with nine points from seven games.

The Scarlets have enjoyed success against the Dragons in recent meetings, but their away form has been poor, with five defeats in their last six matches.

Team News

Dragons

Head Coach Filo Tiatia has highlighted the need to continue their recent form at home: "It’s set to be a huge crowd at Rodney Parade, so we need to embrace the atmosphere and look to build on the performances and what we have achieved on home soil in recent games.”

Starting XV: Angus O’Brien, David Richards, Fine Inisi, Aneurin Owen, Rio Dyer, Tinus de Beer, Che Hope; Rodrigo Martinez, Oli Burrows, Robert Hunt, Ryan Woodman, Ben Carter, Harri Keddie, Harry Beddall, Aaron Wainwright

Replacements: George Roberts, Wyn Jones, Cebo Dlamini, Levi Douglas, Thomas Young, Rhodri Williams, Joe Westwood, Ewan Rosser

Scarlets

Head coach Dwayne Peel has stated that his team will need to play well to get the result at the Dragons: "The games are coming thick and fast and this is another important game and another tough game for us. They are going well at the moment and we have to make sure we go to Rodney Parade with a spark and full of energy.”

Starting XV: Ioan Nicholas; Tom Rogers, Joe Roberts, Eddie James, Ellis Mee; Joe Hawkins, Gareth Davies; Kemsley Mathias, Marnus van der Merwe, Henry Thomas, Max Douglas, Harvey Cuckson, Taine Plumtree, Josh Macleod (capt), Fletcher Anderson.

Replacements: Ryan Elias, Josh Morse, Harri O’Connor, Sam Lousi, Dan Davis, Archie Hughes, Carwyn Leggatt-Jones, Macs Page.

Verdict

Dragons v Scarlets

The Dragons have found some form at home lately and are tipped to cover the +4.5 handicap in their derby match against the Scarlets.

Dragons +4.5

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