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England vs South Africa Predictions - Springboks need to be wary of dangerous England

Marc Thomas

Editor

Last updated: 15 Nov 2024

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Marc Thomas 15 Nov 2024

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England lost 5 of their last 6 matches but can get within a points handicap.
South Africa are strong favorites, winning majority of recent games.
Two recent matches between them were decided by a single point.

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England vs South africa 2023 rugby world cup semi final

England to get close against world champs (Getty Images)

England vs South Africa Preview

England lost by a point to South Africa at the World Cup last year and despite being in a poor run results wise, the English performances have not been bad. I am backign the hosts to get within the handicap.

England vs South Africa Preview
Head to Head
England Form
England Injuries & Team News
South Africa Form
South Africa Injuries & Team News

England have covered the +8 handicap in 3 of their last 5 matches against South Africa.
England have won 2 of their last 3 home matches against South Africa.
England have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
South Africa have won their last 2 matches against England.
South Africa have won 8 of their last 10 matches.

Head to Head

Two of the last three games between England and South Africa have been decided by one point. Their last meeting, during the 2023 Rugby World Cup semi-final, Handre Pollard slotted a last-minute 50m penalty to secure a 16-15 victory.

Here you can see the full breakdown of fixtures between England and South Africa.

England Form

England are in a very tricky place at the moment in terms of results. In total, they have lost their last four matches and five of their last six, with only a victory against Japan to show.

However, that doesn’t tell the full story. At the end of the Six Nations, in which England beat Ireland at home and took France to the death in Paris, England beat Japan.

That was followed by a two-match series in New Zealand where England lost both games by one and seven points. A fortnight ago, England should have beaten New Zealand at home but late errors allowed the All Blacks a 24-22 win.

Against Australia last week, England again should have won, but once again, after putting themselves in a winning position, conceded a last-minute try to lose 42-37.

The English will be desperate to put an end to their losing streak and I for one, wouldn’t put it past them. They have a history for raising their game against South Africa and I’m pretty sure this will be closer than many think.

England Injuries & Team News

With Tom Curry injured, Steve Borthwick has to make at least one change. He may opt for more, but his side has not been playing poorly, they have just struggled to put teams away when they looked to be in winning positions.

South Africa Form

South Africa are in great form at the moment and as Rugby Championship and Rugby World Cup winners, enter the game as comfortable favourites.

The Springboks have only lost two games this season, the first to a last-minute drop goal against Ireland and to Argentina away – both games were one-point defeats.

Rassie Erasmus’ side swatted Australia aside twice in the Rugby Championship, beat the All Blacks at home on two occasions and thrashed Argentina at home, after losing away the week before.

Last weekend, South Africa were too good for Scotland, winning by 17 points while being very far from their best.

South Africa Injuries & Team News

Rassie Erasmus fielded what many would consider a second-string side last weekend against Scotland. He is likely to revert back to the regular players for what is undoubtedly their biggest match of the tour.

Verdict

England v South Africa

England can get within eight points with a possible upset win.

England +8

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England Win

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