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Brumbies vs Chiefs Predictions - Brumbies to bounce back with a home win in Super Rugby

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 59 minutes ago

The upcoming Super Rugby match between the Brumbies and the Chiefs is set to be a thrilling encounter. While the Chiefs are slight favorites due to the Brumbies' recent two defeats, the latter's robust home performance tips the balance. The Brumbies are strong contenders, evidenced by their handicap advantage (+4.5). Previously, the Brumbies had a stellar start to the season but have encountered setbacks. Meanwhile, the Chiefs, maintaining an impressive run, appear poised to continue their victorious streak. Fans anticipate a competitive showdown with unpredictable outcomes.

Ralph Staniforth 59 minutes ago
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  • Brumbies have encountered recent defeats but are strong at home.
  • The Chiefs have won 3 of their last 4 matches, favoring them.
  • Brumbies backed on +4.5 handicap for a potential win.
Brumbies vs Chiefs Predictions

Brumbies vs Chiefs Predictions


The Chiefs are slight favourites in Canberra given the Brumbies last two defeats. However, the Brumbies seldom lose at home and will want a big bounce back this weekend. I am backing the hosts on the +4.5 handicap.

  • Brumbies have lost their last 2 matches.
  • Chiefs have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Chiefs have won their last 2 away matches against the Brumbies.
  • Chiefs have won their last 5 matches against the Brumbies.

Head to Head


The Chiefs have been victorious in their last five Super Rugby clashes against the Brumbies.

Brumbies Form


The Brumbies began the season in spectacular fashion, scoring 50+ points away from home against the Western Force and Crusaders. 

In the third round, it was less than straightforward but the Brumbies still managed a 30-27 home win against the Blues. Unfortunately for the Canberra side, this is where things started going wrong.

Against the Reds, the Brumbies just never really got going and they went down 34-31 at home, a very disappointing for a side who has built up a great reputation at home. Last week, the Brumbies lost again, this time 42-27 away from home against Fijian Drua.

Until then, the Brumbies had never lost to Drua before.

Chiefs Form


The Chiefs came into the 2026 Super Rugby season as favourites for the title after ending as runners up last season. With three wins in four matches, the Chiefs remain up there among the favourites.

An opening round 19-15 away win over the Blues got the Chiefs off to the perfect start. They won another close one in round two, beating the Highlanders 26-23 away from home.

Thereafter, the Chiefs were well beaten by the Crusaders at home, losing 43-33 – a result that shocked many given the Crusaders form at the time. Last week, Chiefs bounced back to thrash Moana 57-24.

Brumbies vs Chiefs Team News & Starting Lineups


Brumbies: 15 Andy Muirhead, 14 Kye Oates, 13 Kadin Pritchard, 12 Hudson Creighton, 11 Corey Toole, 10 Declan Meredith, 9 Ryan Lonergan (captain), 8 Charlie Cale, 7 Rory Scott, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Cadeyrn Neville, 4 Nick Frost, 3 Darcy Breen, 2 Billy Pollard, 1 James Slipper

Replacements: 16 Liam Bowron, 17 Blake Schoupp, 18 Tevita Alatini, 19 Toby Macpherson, 20 Luke Reimer, 21 Klayton Thorn, 22 Tane Edmed, 23 Austin Anderson

Chiefs: 15 Liam Coombes-Fabling, 14 Leroy Carter, 13 Daniel Rona, 12 Quinn Tupaea, 11 Etene Nanai-Seturo, 10 Damian McKenzie, 9 Cortez Ratima, 8 Luke Jacobson (captain), 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Simon Parker, 5 Tupou Vaa’i, 4 Josh Lord, 3 Reuben O’Neill, 2 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 1 Jared Profitt

Replacements: 16 Tyrone Thompson, 17 Ollie Norris, 18 George Dyer, 19 Seuseu Naitoa Ah Kuoi, 20 Samipeni Finau, 21 Xavier Roe, 22 Josh Jacomb, 23 Lalakai Foketi

Verdict

Brumbies are backed on the +4.5 handicap and a possible win.

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