Brumbies vs Reds Predictions - Brumbies to seal third place

Simon Lewis

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Last updated: 16 May 2025

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Simon Lewis 16 May 2025

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Brumbies are predicted to win against the Reds with a home advantage.
Brumbies have beaten the Reds in 5 of their last 6 encounters.
Reds need a win to close the gap, trailing 7 points behind Brumbies.

Brumbies have won 5 of their last 6 matches against the Reds. (Getty Images)

Brumbies vs Reds Predictions

As usual between these rivals, I expect a tightly fought encounter. However, at home I expect the Brumbies class to show through. Value is on the -6.5 handicap for the hosts.

Brumbies vs Reds Predictions
Head to Head
Brumbies Form
Brumbies Injuries & Team News
Reds Form
Reds Injuries & Team News

Brumbies beat the Reds by 13 points earlier this season.
Brumbies have won 5 of their last 6 matches against the Reds.
Reds have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Head to Head

Brumbies have won five of their last six matches against the Reds. A month ago, the Brumbies beat the Reds 39-26 away from home.

Brumbies Form

The Brumbies made an inconsistent start to their season but have hit some good form in the second half of the campaign. They are currently third, just two points off the Chiefs and Crusaders above them.

While it will take a slip up from the top two in the final weeks to see the Canberra side get into top spot, that is not beyond the realm of possibilities. With five wins from their last six games, the Brumbies are in fine form.

During that period, the Brumbies only defeat came at home to the Hurricanes. They beat the Highlanders at home, the Reds away, the Waratahs at home and the Force away last weekend.

Brumbies Injuries & Team News

15 Tom Wright, 14 Andy Muirhead, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 David Feliuai, 11 Corey Toole, 10 Declan Meredith, 9 Ryan Lonergan, 8 Tom Hooper, 7 Rory Scott, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Lachlan Shaw, 4 Nick Frost, 3 Allan Alaalatoa (captain), 2 Billy Pollard, 1 James Slipper

Replacements: 16 Lachlan Lonergan, 17 Lington Ieli, 18 Rhys van Nek, 19 Cadeyrn Neville, 20 Tuaina Taii Tualima, 21 Harrison Goddard, 22 Hudson Creighton, 23 Ollie Sapsford

Reds Form

The Reds made a strong start to the campaign and while they have dropped off a bit, they still find themselves third with a game in hand on those around them. However, the Reds are seven points off the Brumbies so a win here will simply move them closer.

At home the Reds have been good, bar for their 39-36 loss to the Brumbies in mid-April. They, however, bounced back from that loss to beat the Blues at home before losing by three points at Fijian Drua.

Last weekend, the Reds put in a strong performance to beat the Waratahs 28-21 in Sydney, forcing the Tahs’ to take their first defeat on home soil this season.

Reds Injuries & Team News

15 Jock Campbell, 14 Lachie Anderson, 13 Filipo Daugunu, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Tim Ryan, 10 Harry McLaughlin-Phillips, 9 Tate McDermott (captain), 8 John Bryant, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Joe Brial, 5 Ryan Smith, 4 Josh Canham, 3 Zane Nonggorr, 2 Richie Asiata, 1 Sef Fa’agase,

Replacements: 16 Josh Nasser, 17 Jeffery Toomaga-Allen,18 Massimo De Lutiis, 19 Angus Blyth, 20 Connor Vest, 21 Kalani Thomas, 22 Dre Pakeho, 23 Heremaia Murray

Verdict

Brumbies v Reds

I am backing the Brumbies to cover the -6.5 handicap on home soil.

Brumbies -6.5

Handicap

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