Chiefs vs Brumbies Predictions - Chiefs to win tight quarterfinal clash

Simon Lewis

Editor

Last updated: 11 Jun 2025

Add to Calendar

Simon Lewis 11 Jun 2025

Share this article

Chiefs won 4 of last 5 matches against Brumbies.
Brumbies likely to cover +11.5 handicap.
Chiefs dominate at home, losing only one recent home game.

Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5 matches against the Brumbies. (Getty Images)

Chiefs vs Brumbies Predictions

The Chiefs won this fixture earlier this season by 15 points, but I do expect this knockout clash to be much closer. My best bet is for the Brumbies to cover the +11.5 handicap, although I don’t see the Chiefs losing on successive weekends at home.

Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5 matches against the Brumbies.
Chiefs have won 7 of their last 8 home matches.
Brumbies have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

Head to Head

These two met earlier this season in Hamilton, a match the Chiefs won 49-34. In total, the Chiefs lead 4-1 in their last five matches against the Brumbies.

Chiefs Form

The Chiefs deservedly topped the Super Rugby table, winning 11 of their 14 matches. They ended two points clear of the Crusaders.

Throughout the season, the Chiefs lost three games, all of which were away from home. At home, they have been a dominant force against all comers.

That was until last week in the quarterfinal. On the biggest stage, the Chiefs were not themselves as the Blues came to town, winning the match 20-19. It was tight all the way through but fortunately for the Chiefs, topping the table meant defeat kept them in the tournament.

Chiefs Injuries & Team News

15 Shaun Stevenson, 14 Emoni Narawa, 13 Daniel Rona, 12 Quinn Tupaea, 11 Leroy Carter, 10 Damian McKenzie, 9 Cortez Ratima, 8 Wallace Sititi, 7 Luke Jacobson (captain), 6 Samipeni Finau, 5 Tupou Vaa’i, 4 Naitoa Ah Kuoi, 3 George Dyer, 2 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 1 Ollie Norris.

Replacements: 16 Brodie McAlister, 17 Jared Proffit, 18 Reuben O’Neill, 19 Jimmy Tupou, 20 Kaylum Boshier, 21 Xavier Roe, 22 Josh Jacomb, 23 Gideon Wrampling.

Brumbies Form

The Brumbies have enjoyed another successful season as the leading Australian side. They ended third behind the Crusaders and Chiefs with nine wins in 14 matches.

It could have been so much better for the Brumbies though. They dropped crucial games, particularly home fixtures against the Western Force and Hurricanes.

However, in the quarterfinal last Saturday, the Brumbies forward and set piece dominance saw them defeat the Hurricanes 35-28. In a nine-try thriller, it was the Brumbies who came out on top.

Brumbies Injuries & Team News

15 Tom Wright, 14 Andy Muirhead, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 David Feliuai, 11 Corey Toole, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Ryan Lonergan, 8 Tuaina Taii Tualima, 7 Rory Scott, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Tom Hooper, 4 Nick Frost, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Billy Pollard, 1 James Slipper.

Replacements: 16 Lachlan Lonergan, 17 Lington Ieli, 18 Feao Fotuaika, 19 Lachlan Shaw, 20 Luke Reimer, 21 Harrison Goddard, 22 Declan Meredith, 23 Ollie Sapsford.

Verdict

Chiefs v Brumbies

Brumbies are tipped to get with the 11.5 handicap.

Brumbies +11.5

Handicap

@-109.89 - 1 Unit

Up to R3,000 + 300 Spins

3 Deposit Bonuses

Earn up to R3,000 in bonus funds PLUS 300 Free Spins, on your first three deposits. To get started, register and make a First Deposit *Min R10 and get 100% free up to R1,000 plus 100 free slot spins. | T&Cs apply.

Bet at Sportingbet SA