Toulouse vs Montpellier Predictions - Toulouse set to beat Montpellier in a top of the table clash
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- Toulouse have won 13 consecutive home games and dominated Montpellier historically.
- Montpellier are on a 4-match winning streak but struggle at Toulouse.
- Toulouse predicted to over the -20.5 handicap.
Toulouse have an outstanding record against Montpellier at home (Getty Images)
Toulouse vs Montpellier Predictions
Toulouse have often defeated Montpellier in recent matches and are on a lengthy winning streak at home. Montpellier have been performing well lately, but historically struggle against Toulouse away from home.
- Toulouse have won 5 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
- Toulouse have won 13 consecutive home matches in all competitions.
- Toulouse have won 9 of their last 10 home games against Montpellier.
- Montpellier have won 4 consecutive matches (Top 14).
- Montpellier have won 3 of their last 5 away fixtures in all competitions.
- Montpellier have lost 8 of their last 9 matches against Toulouse.
Head to Head
Toulouse have a commanding lead of 26 victories to 14 against Montpellier in 40 meetings.
Toulouse lost 44-14 away to Montpellier earlier this season.
Toulouse Form
Toulouse came away empty-handed in their French Rugby Championship clash with rivals Bordeaux last weekend, losing 44-22 away after trailing 15-13 at half-time.
Toulouse have been in outstanding form at home in the Top 14 this season. They defeated Perpignan 31-13, Castres 59-12, Bordeaux 56-13, Toulon 59-24, Stade Francais 29-17, Racing 92 48-24, La Rochelle 60-14, Pau 59-22, Bayonne 31-10, and Montauban 68-13.
Toulouse are 1st in the Top 14 table with 67 points from 19 matches.
Toulouse have been on a 13-match winning streak at home, and they have defeated Montpellier in nine of their last ten meetings on home soil, giving them the advantage to secure all the points on offer in this top-of-the-table clash.
Montpellier Form
Montpellier registered their fourth consecutive victory in the Top 14 with a 20-17 away win over Clermont last weekend after trailing 10-9 at the break.
Before that, Montpellier had mixed results away from home in the league this season. They lost 26-23 to Bayonne, drew 22-22 with Montauban, lost 32-25 to Racing 92, 35-12 to Stade Francais, defeated Perpignan 28-0, lost 35-33 to Pau, 30-27 to Toulon, before beating La Rochelle 43-33.
Montpellier are 2nd in the Top 14 standings with 57 points from 19 matches.
Montpellier have been in great touch lately, but face one of their bogey teams, having lost eight of their last nine matches against Toulouse.
Team News
Toulouse
Thomas Ramos has scored 110 points in the 2025/26 Top 14.
Teddy Thomas has crossed the try line nine times this season.
Montpellier
Flanker Mahamadou Diaby has joined Montpellier as a medical joker for the remainder of the Top 14 season.
Hugo Miotti has scored 206 points for his club this season.
Christopher Tolofua has scored nine league tries so far
Verdict
Toulouse have consistently defeated Montpellier at home in recent seasons and are tipped to cover the -20.5 handicap.
Toulouse -20.5
Handicap
@1.91 - 3 Units
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