Toulouse vs Pau Predictions - Toulouse to see off Pau in top of the table clash
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- Toulouse boasts an 11-game home winning streak.
- Pau struggles away against Toulouse, losing 8 in a row.
- Toulouse are favoured to cover the -19.5 handicap.
Toulouse are on a winning streak against Pau at home (Getty Images)
Toulouse vs Pau Predictions
Toulouse have an excellent home record against Pau, and they have been playing great rugby at home lately. Pau have had a solid Top 14 campaign, but struggle to beat Toulouse in their own backyard.
- Toulouse have won 3 of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions.
- Toulouse have won 11 consecutive home matches in all competitions.
- Toulouse have defeated Pau 8 times in a row at home.
- Pau have won 3 of their last 5 away fixtures in all competitions.
- Pau have lost 3 of their last 4 matches against Toulouse.
Head to Head
Toulouse have the advantage with 13 victories to seven against Pau in 20 meetings.
Toulouse Form
Toulouse fell short against Saracens, losing 20-14 away from home, before recording an emphatic 77-7 home win over the Sale Sharks in their recent foray in the European Rugby Champions Cup.
Toulouse have been outstanding at home in the Top 14 this season. They defeated Perpignan 31-13, Castres 59-12, Bordeaux 56-13, Toulon 59-24, Stade Francais 29-17, Racing 92 48-24, the Sharks 59-19, and La Rochelle 60-14.
Toulouse are 1st in the Top 14 table with 48 points from 14 games.
Toulouse will fancy their chances against Pau, as they have defeated their opponents eight consecutive times at home and were in superb form in their previous outing, scoring plenty of tries.
Pau Form
Pau had mixed results in the Investec Champions Cup recently, defeating the Scarlets away 47-38 before losing 26-24 to the Bulls at home.
Pau have had some success away from home in the Top 14 this season. They defeated Castres 17-15, lost 50-27 to Clermont, 33-17 to Toulon, 15-10 to Racing 92, beat Bordeaux 34-33 and Montauban 53-17 before losing to Lyon 22-17.
Pau are 2nd in the Top 14 standings with 47 points from 14 matches.
Pau have had an excellent domestic campaign so far, but face a tough assignment to get the result at Toulouse, as their opponents are on an 11-match winning streak at home.
Team News
Toulouse
Thomas Ramos scored 96 points for Toulouse in the Top 14 this season.
Matthis Lebel has crossed the try-line eight times in the league so far.
Pau
Former Saracens lock Joel Kpoku has left Section Paloise mid-season, ending his 18-month stint more than a year before his contract was due to expire.
Axel Rigou has scored 106 points for his club this season.
Gregoire Arfeuil has scored eight tries in the 2025/26 Top 14.
Verdict
Toulouse have been in fine fettle at home this season and are tipped to cover the -19.5 handicap in their clash with Pau.
Toulouse -19.5
Handicap
@1.91 - 3 Units
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