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Connacht vs Sharks Predictions - Connacht backed to win at home in a European Challenge Cup Round of 16 clash

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 31 minutes ago

Connacht are positioned as favorites in their upcoming clash against the Sharks due to their strong home record and consistent performances. They have won their last five home matches and boast a solid head-to-head track record against the Sharks, winning four out of their last five encounters. Connacht comes off a solid 21-14 victory over Ospreys, while the Sharks have struggled recently, losing four of their last five away games. Key players for Connacht, like Sam Gilbert and Paul Boyle, are expected to play pivotal roles in the match.

Ralph Staniforth 31 minutes ago
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  • Connacht are favorites with a strong home record.
  • Sharks struggled, losing 4 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Best bet: Connacht to cover the -4.5 handicap.
Connacht rugby
Connacht can do the business at home (Getty Images)

Connacht vs Sharks Predictions 


Connacht are favourites with an impressive home and head-to-head record. My best bet is Connacht to cover the -4.5 handicap. 

  • Connacht have won their last 5 matches at home.
  • Connacht have won 4 of their last 5 encounters against the Sharks.
  • Connacht come into this match on the back of a 21-14 win against Ospreys.
  • Connacht have scored 30 or more points in three of their last four home matches.
  • Sharks have lost 4 of their last 5 matches on the road.
  • Sharks come into this match on the back of a 41-12 defeat at the Bulls.

Head to Head


Connacht have won four of their five encounters against the Sharks.

Connacht Form


Connacht have been in impressive form at home, winning four of their last five home matches across the United Rugby Championship and the Challenge Cup. They come into this match on the back of a 21-14 win against Ospreys.

Their previous home results include a win against Montauban (75-14), a loss against Leinster (34-23), followed by wins against Glasgow Warriors (15-10) and Scarlets (31-14).

Connacht finished third in Pool One of the Challenge Cup group stage.

Connacht Injuries & Team News


Connacht go into the match with confidence after a strong domestic showing. They are chasing a maiden title in their 14th knockout appearance. Standouts include Sam Gilbert (fullback/centre), who topped the pool stage for points and conversions, and Paul Boyle (loose-forward), their leading try scorer.

Sharks Form


Sharks have struggled for form away from home, losing four of their last five matches across the United Rugby Championship and the Champions Cup. They come into this match on the back of a 41-12 defeat at the Bulls.

Their previous away results include losses at Toulouse (56-19) and Sale (26-10), a win at the Stormers (30-19), and a loss at the Lions (34-22).

Sharks finished fifth in Pool 1 of the Champions Cup group stage.

Sharks Injuries & Team News


The Sharks are expected to field a strong side to challenge for silverware in Europe. Coach JP Pietersen emphasised a "full crack" approach for the away game in Galway, rather than resting senior players.

Springbok lock Eben Etzebeth is likely to feature, with his suspension expiring on 1 April 2026.

Verdict

Connacht are tipped to cover the -4.5 handicap at home against the Sharks.

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