Connacht vs Cardiff Predictions - Connacht to knock Cardiff out of the Challenge Cup

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 04 Apr 2025

Brad Newcomb 04 Apr 2025

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Connacht have beaten Cardiff 5 consecutive times at home.
Cardiff struggles with away games, losing 6 of the last 7.
Connacht favourites to cover the -7.5 handicap.

Expired

Connacht have defeated Cardiff four times in a row (Getty Images)

Connacht vs Cardiff Predictions

Connacht vs Cardiff Predictions
Head to Head
Connacht Form
Connacht Team News & Injuries
Cardiff Form
Cardiff Team News & Injuries

Connacht have been in decent nick and have an excellent record against Cardiff at home. Cardiff have been out of sorts playing away from home lately and have lost twice to Connacht this season.

Connacht have won 4 of their last 7 games in all competitions.
Connacht have won 4 of their last 6 home matches in all competitions.
Connacht have defeated Cardiff 5 consecutive times at home.
Cardiff have lost 6 of their last 7 away fixtures in all competitions.
Cardiff have lost 7 of their 8 away games against Connacht.

Head to Head

Cardiff have the advantage over Connacht, with 17 victories to 12, including one draw in 30 meetings.

Connacht have defeated Cardiff twice this season.

Connacht Form

Connacht were in great touch during their EPCR Challenge Cup Pool 1 campaign. They beat Zebre 43-12 at home, Perpignan 31-18 away, Lyon 52-24 at home, and Cardiff 28-19 away.

Connacht have contested three home fixtures in the URC since making the knockout rounds. They defeated Cardiff 24-19 and Benetton 38-30 before losing 30-24 to Munster.

Connacht will fancy their chances to beat Cardiff for the third time on the trot this season, as they have defeated the Welsh team five consecutive times at their home stadium.

Connacht Team News & Injuries

Joshua Ioane has kicked over five conversions and two penalties in the competition.

Chay Mullins has scored four tries in the 2024/25 European Challenge Cup.

Paul Doyle has contributed three tries thus far.

Cardiff Form

Cardiff did enough to progress out of the EPCR Challenge Cup Pool 1 this season. They lost 37-26 to Lyon away and beat the Cheetahs 26-10 at home before losing 23-20 to Perpignan away and 28-19 to Connacht at home.

Cardiff have played three matches away from home in the URC since those performances. They lost 24-19 to Connacht, 42-24 to Leinster, and 20-19 to Benetton.

Cardiff have battled to win away from home lately, and they have lost to Connacht twice this season, going down 28-19 at home in a European Challenge Cup qualifier and 24-19 away in the URC.

Cardiff Team News & Injuries

Joshua Adams has dotted down over the try line three times in this edition of the European Challenge Cup.

Tom Young has scored two tries in the competition.

Callum Sheedy has slotted five conversions thus far.

Verdict

Connacht v Cardiff

Connacht have a proven track record against Cardiff at home and are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap.

Connacht -7.5

Handicap

@-109.89 - 3 Units

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