Auckland vs Otago Predictions - Otago backed for victory in final round
Otago enters the final week of the NPC with an impressive record, having won 7 of their last 9 matches and aiming for the top spot. Despite being considered underdogs at the season's start, their form outshines Auckland, who have lost 7 of their last 9 and are out of quarterfinal contention. Otago is favored to beat Auckland by more than 4.5 points and secure at least second place. Auckland, meanwhile, seeks a morale-boosting end to a challenging season.
- Otago have won 7 of their last 9 matches.
- Auckland have lost 7 of their last 9 games.
- Otago are backed to beat Auckland and cover the -4.5 handicap.
Otago set for victory in final round of NPC (Getty Images)
Auckland vs Otago Predictions
Otago are chasing top spot, although they need Canterbury to drop points in their game to achieve this feat. However, victory is still required to secure second place. I am backing Otago to get it done by more than 4.5 points.
- Auckland vs Otago Predictions
- Head to Head
- Auckland Form
- Otago Form
- Auckland have lost 7 of their last 9 matches.
- Auckland have lost 5 of their last 7 matches by more than 5 points.
- Otago have won 7 of their last 9 matches.
- Otago won their last match against Auckland.
Head to Head
Otago lead 3-2 in their last five matches against Auckland. Last season, Otago won 27-25.
Auckland Form
Auckland have endured another poor season in the NPC in which they have won just twice. While the quarterfinals are not an option, they will want to end the season on a high.
After losing six straight games, some of them by significant margins, Auckland found two wins at Tasman and at home to Manawatu in rounds six and seven.
However, they have lost their last two matches to Counties Manukau and last week to Hawkes Bay. Both games were away from home, but they conceded 49 and 45 in each, scoring 28 themselves in both matches.
Otago Form
There were not very high expectations from Otago going into the 2025 NPC campaign. Most bookmakers had them as wild outsiders, but going into the final week, they are just a point off Canterbury after winning seven of their nine games.
It has been quite strange for Otago as they have the worst points difference of the top five teams (+58) which points to the number of tight encounters they have won.
Otago’s two defeats came at home to Hawkes Bay (by six points) and away to Tasman (by four points). Many of their victories have also been by tight margins.
Since losing to Tasman, Otago have won their last four matches, including a two-point win over Taranaki and Canterbury. Last week, the Dunedin outfit defeated North Harbour 41-26.
Verdict
Otago are backed to beat Auckland and cover the -4.5 handicap.
Otago -4.5
Handicap
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