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Otago vs Counties Manukau Predictions - Otago set to beat Counties Manukau at home

brad-newcomb
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Last updated: 22 Aug 2025
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Brad Newcomb 22 Aug 2025
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  • Otago have a strong winning record at home against Counties Manukau.
  • Counties Manukau have lost four consecutive matches.
  • Otago favoured to cover the -6.5 handicap. 
Otago
Otago have regularly defeated Counties Manukau in recent seasons (Getty Images)

Otago vs Counties Manukau Predictions

  • Otago vs Counties Manukau Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Otago Form
  • Otago Team News & Injuries
  • Counties Manukau Form 
  • Counties Manukau Team News & Injuries

Otago have had a decent start to their NPC campaign and often beat Counties Manukau at home. Counties Manukau have lost all their league fixtures this season. 

  • Otago have won 5 of their last 6 fixtures.
  • Otago have won 3 of their last 4 matches against Counties Manukau.  
  • Counties Manukau have lost 4 fixtures in a row.
  • Counties Manukau have lost 3 consecutive away games.  

Head to Head


Counties Manukau have the advantage with six victories to three in nine meetings.

Otago Form


Otago had a solid first half against Southland last weekend, scoring three converted tries and a penalty to lead 24-19 at the break.

Otago scored an additional three tries, two conversions, and a penalty in the second half to record a 46-41 victory against Southland. 

Before that result, Otago defeated Southland 24-15 and lost 27-21 to Hawke's Bay. 

Otago are 6th in the NPC table with six points from three matches. 

Otago have had early success in their National Provincial Championship campaign and have played well against Counties Manukau at home recently, winning three of their last four matches.

Otago Team News & Injuries


Lucas Casey scored a brace against Wellington last weekend. 

Dylan Pledger, William Tucker, Jona Nareki, and Thomas Umaga-Jensen contributed a try each. 

Cameron Millar kicked over five conversions and two penalties in the match.

Counties Manukau Form 


Counties Manukau scored two converted tries in the first half against Waikato last weekend, going into the break trailing by three points.

Counties Manukau added two tries and a conversion in the second half but came up short against Waikato, losing 27-26. 

Before that result, Counties Manukau lost 54-14 to Hawke's Bay and 39-25 to Bay of Plenty. 

Counties Manukau are 13th in the NPC standings with three points from three matches. 

Counties Manukau have been out of sorts in the opening few rounds of the National Provincial Championship and have struggled to beat Otago away from home. 

Counties Manukau Team News & Injuries


Etene Nanai-Seturo, Peniasi Malimali, Hoskins Sotutu, and Jackson Rainsford each scored a try against Waikato last weekend. 

Riley Hohepa slotted three conversions in the match.

Verdict

Otago have a solid record against Counties Manukau on their home turf and are tipped to cover the -6.5 handicap.

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