Georgia vs Tonga Predictions - Georgia backed to cover the handicap at home in Nations Cup clash
Georgia are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap against Tonga in their Nations Cup clash, following four consecutive tournament wins and a dominant 59-14 victory over Canada. Georgia have a strong head-to-head record, winning their last five meetings with Tonga. Tonga have won two of four Nations Cup matches but have struggled defensively, conceding 102 points in their last three games. Both teams' confirmed matchday squads are pending, with recent captains Davit Niniashvili for Georgia and Fetuli Paea for Tonga. Team selections will be updated when announced.
- Georgia are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap against Tonga.
- Georgia have won all four Nations Cup matches and their last five meetings with Tonga.
- Both teams' matchday squads are yet to be confirmed.
Georgia backed to win (Getty Images)
Georgia vs Tonga Predictions
Georgia are favourites to defeat Tonga on home soil after winning all four of their Nations Cup matches, including a convincing victory over Canada last weekend. With home advantage and a strong head-to-head record, Georgia are backed to cover the - 7.5 handicap.
- Georgia have won all four of their Nations Cup matches in 2026.
- Georgia defeated Canada 59-14 in their previous match at home.
- Georgia have scored 182 points in their four Nations Cup matches, averaging 45.5 points per match.
- Georgia have won their last five meetings with Tonga.
- Tonga have won two of their four Nations Cup matches.
- Tonga defeated Romania 43-38 away from home in their previous match.
- Tonga have conceded 102 points in their last three Nations Cup matches.
Head-to-Head
Georgia have won their last five meetings against Tonga.
Their most recent encounter was in November 2024, when Georgia defeated Tonga 22-7. Georgia also recorded a 20-9 victory in November 2018.
Georgia Form
Georgia thrashed Canada 59-14 in their previous Nations Cup match at Avchala Stadium in Tbilisi on 7 November 2026.
Georgia made a strong start before Canada fought back to lead 14-10 midway through the first half. However, the hosts responded with two tries before the break to establish a 24-14 advantage.
Georgia dominated the second half, scoring 35 unanswered points to secure a comprehensive victory. Akaki Tabutsadze scored two tries, while Davit Niniashvili, Dachi Papunashvili, Luka Tabatadze, Beka Gigashvili and Tornike Kakhoidze also crossed the line, along with a penalty try.
Georgia have been in excellent form in the Nations Cup, winning their three previous matches against Uruguay (41-34), Samoa (33-12) and Chile (49-22).
Georgia have won all four of their Nations Cup matches, scoring 182 points and conceding 82. They will be looking to maintain their unbeaten record with another home victory.
Tonga Form
Tonga defeated Romania 43-38 in their previous Nations Cup match at the Stadionul National Arcul de Triumf in Bucharest on 6 November 2026.
Romania opened the scoring before Tonga responded with three tries to take control of the match. The hosts fought back, but Tonga held a narrow 22-17 lead at halftime.
Tonga continued to attack in the second half, with Anzelo Tuitavuki, Efitusi Maafu and Tomaakino Taufa crossing the line. However, Romania remained in contention throughout, scoring six tries of their own.
Tonga have struggled for consistency in the Nations Cup, losing to Spain (32-19) and Portugal (32-28) in July, having beaten Zimbabwe 36-26 in their opening match.
Tonga have won two and lost two of their four Nations Cup matches. Their victory over Romania was an encouraging away result, although their defensive record remains a concern ahead of their trip to Georgia.
Team News
Georgia's confirmed matchday squad for the Tonga encounter has not yet been verified. Davit Niniashvili captained the side against Canada, while Akaki Tabutsadze impressed with two tries.
Tonga's confirmed matchday squad is also pending verification. Captain Fetuli Paea led the side against Romania, with Patrick Pellegrini contributing 13 points in the victory.
Both teams' selections will need updating once the official matchday squads are announced.
Verdict
Georgia are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap.
Georgia -7.5
Handicap
@1,91 - 4 Units
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Since a young age, he played football, cricket, golf, tennis and squash, and is an avid Arsenal supporter.
His initial foray into the business world was in the financial industry, completing various diploma’s including financial and investment management and credit management, and held various positions in banking.
He subsequently worked on the Leadership media publication and the Global Africa Network Media Trade and Investment platforms, before switching to sport.
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