Cardiff vs Scarlets Predictions - Cardiff to condemn the Scarlets to another defeat in derby clash

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 18 Dec 2025

Brad Newcomb 18 Dec 2025

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Cardiff's impressive home streak: 6 consecutive wins.
Scarlets have lost 8 of their last 9 fixtures.
Match prediction: Cardiff favoured to cover -8.5 handicap.

Expired

Cardiff are on a winning streak at home (Getty Images)

Cardiff have been in excellent form this season and have often won at home recently. Scarlets have been in a slump away from home but have had regular success against Cardiff in recent clashes.

Cardiff have won 5 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
Cardiff have won 6 consecutive home games in all competitions.
Cardiff have lost 4 successive times to the Scarlets at home.
Scarlets have lost 8 of their last 9 fixtures in all competitions.
Scarlets have lost 5 consecutive away games in all competitions.
Scarlets have defeated Cardiff in 4 of their last 5 meetings.

Head to Head

The Scarlets have the advantage with 23 victories to 14 against Cardiff in 37 meetings.

Cardiff Form

Cardiff lost their opening EPCR Challenge Cup fixture against Stade Francais 38-17 at home before edging Ulster 29-26 at home.

Cardiff have been performing well in their last five home matches in the URC. They defeated the Lions 20-17, Munster 26-21, Lions 33-20, Connacht 14-8, and Edinburgh 20-19.

Cardiff are 2nd in the United Rugby Championship standings with 25 points from six games.

Despite Cardiff's lack of results against Scarlets in recent encounters, they will fancy their chances against their opponents, as they have won six in a row at their stadium.

Scarlets Form

The Scarlets fell short in their opening European Rugby Champions Cup match against Bristol, losing 17-16 at home, and had no answer against Bordeaux last weekend, losing 50-21.

The Scarlets defeated the Lions 32-19 before losing 12-3 to the Sharks, 33-21 to Leinster, 29-18 to the Lions, and 29-19 to the Sharks in their last five away fixtures.

The Scarlets are last in the United Rugby Championship table with four points from five games.

The Scarlets have consistently defeated Cardiff in their own backyard, winning four in a row; however, their away form has been lacking lately, with five consecutive defeats.

Team News

Cardiff

Scrum-half Aled Davies has spoken about his team’s outlook for the upcoming fixtures: "The next few weeks are massive for us. We are talking about the top eight, but we could be talking about the top four.

"It's in our hands and we can definitely win three games. It would be great to have a home knockout game here with a full house, but we have to take it week by week and do what we do."

Scarlets

Head coach Dwayne Peel recently commented on the form of Cardiff this season: “They have been going well, credit where it’s due. They have stayed in games and won games at the death, like they did against Ulster last weekend. It shows they have got good character about them and have been picking up the wins.”