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Ulster vs Connacht Predictions - Ulster to extend winning streak over Connacht

brad-newcomb
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Brad Newcomb 1 hour ago
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  • Ulster won 7 consecutive home games. 
  • Connacht lost 6 of 7 away matches.
  • Prediction: Ulster favoured to cover the -12.5 handicap. 
Ulster
Ulster are on a winning streak at home (Getty Images)

Ulster vs Connacht Predictions


Ulster are on a winning streak against Connacht and have played their best rugby at home this season. Connacht have been in solid form, but have been poor away from home this campaign.
 
  • Ulster have won 3 of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions.
  • Ulster have won 7 consecutive home games in all competitions.
  • Ulster have won 4 of their last 5 home matches against Connacht.
  • Connacht have lost 6 of their last 7 away games in all competitions.
  • Connacht have lost 4 consecutive matches against Ulster.

Head to Head


Ulster have a commanding lead of 26 victories to ten over Connacht, including one draw in 37 meetings.

Ulster Form 


Ulster travelled to face Edinburgh last weekend, winning 40-19 after leading their hosts 19-7 at half-time.

Ulster have contested five home matches in the URC this season. They defeated the Dragons 42-21, the Bulls 28-7, Benetton 47-13, Munster 28-3, and Cardiff 21-14. 

Ulster are 3rd in the United Rugby Championship table with 41 points from 12 games.

Ulster have been in great touch at home this season, winning all their league games, and they have defeated Connacht four consecutive times. 

Connacht Form 


Connacht secured all the points on offer in their home match against the Scarlets last weekend, winning 31-14 after leading 19-7 at the break. 

Connacht have struggled away from home in the URC this season. They lost 14-8 to Cardiff, 17-15 to Munster, 48-28 to the Dragons, and 52-17 to Leinster before defeating Zebre 31-15. 

Connacht are 9th in the United Rugby Championship standings with 30 points from 12 matches.

Connacht have been picking up results in recent outings, but their away form has been poor, with six defeats in seven games, and they have had little success at Ulster lately.

Team News


Ulster

Winger Robert Baloucoune won the "Rising Star" award for his performances in the recent 2026 Six Nations Championship. 

Cormac Izuchukwu, James Hume, and Dave Shanahan are out after sustaining concussions against Edinburgh.

Jude Postlethwaite and Jake Flannery are also unavailable.

Ireland internationals Tom O'Toole, Tom Stewart, Nathan Doak, and Jacob Stockdale are back in the squad and will likely play against Connacht.

Stuart McCloskey, Rob Baloucoune and Nick Timoney will not feature.

Connacht

Bundee Aki has signed a one-year extension with Ireland that will likely see the centre feature at the 2027 Rugby World Cup. 

Dylan Tierney-Martin and Sam Gilbert are out injured, while Paul Boyle and Sean Jansen are doubtful starters.

Verdict

Ulster have been in great touch at home this season and are tipped to cover the -12.5 handicap.

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