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Samoa vs Scotland Predictions -Scotland to bounce back against Samoa

brad-newcomb
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Last updated: 16 Jul 2025
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Brad Newcomb 16 Jul 2025
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  • Scotland leads 6-1 in past meetings against Samoa.
  • Samoa boasts solid home form but struggles against Scotland.
  • Scotland seeks redemption after loss to Fiji, facing a -16.5 handicap.
Scotland
Scotland have an excellent record against Samoa (Getty Images)

Samoa vs Scotland Predictions

  • Samoa vs Scotland Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Samoa Form 
  • Samoa Team News & Injuries
  • Scotland Form 
  • Scotland Team News & Injuries

Samoa have a poor record against Scotland but have been in solid form at home. Scotland lost against Fiji last weekend but have won three in a row against Samoa. 

  • Scotland have won 2 of their last 5 fixtures.
  • Scotland have won 2 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Samoa have won 4 of their last 5 home fixtures.
  • Samoa have lost 3 consecutive times to Scotland. 

Head to Head


Scotland have a commanding lead of six victories to one against Samoa in seven meetings. 

Samoa Form 


Samoa have been playing well at home in their previous fixtures. They lost 33-19 to Fiji before beating Tonga 34-9, Italy 33-25, Spain 34-30, and Tonga 43-17.

Samoa will aim to use their home-ground advantage to secure victory against Scotland; however, they have struggled against their opponents, losing six of their seven meetings.

Samoa Team News & Injuries


Squad: Aki Seiuli, Titi Lamositele, Kaynan Siteine-Tua, Luteru Tolai, Pita Anae-ah Sue, Leif Schwencke, Michael Alaalatoa, Marco Fepulea'i, Tietie Tuimauga, Bradley Soo Amituanai, Samuel Slade, Benjamin Petaia Nee-Nee, Michael Curry, Olajuwon Noa, Theodore McFarland, Jonah Mau'u, Taleni Seu, Niko Jones, Malaesaili Elato, Takopo Mapu, Melani Matavao, Connor Tupai, Joel Lam, Jacob Umaga, Alai D’Angelo Leuila, Rodney Iona, Duncan Paia'aua, Henry Taefu, Melani Nanai,  Afa Moleli, Taunuu Niulevaea, Tuna Tuitama, Elisapeta Alofipo, Tomasi Alosio, Latrell Ah Kiong

Scotland Form 


Scotland scored a converted try in the first half against Fiji but also received two yellow cards, going into the break trailing 15-7. 

Scotland added another converted try early in the second half but had a player sent off in the 67th minute of the match, while Fiji comfortably won 29-14. 

Scotland has lacked consistency in their previous five fixtures. They lost 32-18 to Ireland, 16-15 to England, beat Wales 35-29, and lost 35-16 to France before defeating the Maori All Blacks 29-26. 

Scotland will be out to redeem themselves against Samoa after ill-discipline cost them in their match against Fiji. They have lost once to their hosts in seven meetings. 

Scotland Team News & Injuries


Jamie Ritchie and Tom Jordan are out injured; however, Matt Fagerson has recovered from a knock picked up against Fiji. 

Gregor Brown and Ben Muncaster are back in training after missing the previous Test. 

Darcy Graham, Ewan Ashman and Rory Sutherland have been called up to the British & Irish Lions tour, although the latter two will be available for the Samoa Test. 

Forwards: Alexander Masibaka, Nathan McBeth, Elliot Millar Mills, Ben Muncaster, Andy Onyeama-Christie, Fin Richardson, Rory Sutherland, Marshall Sykes, George Turner, Max Williamson, Jamie Ritchie, Ewan Ashman, Josh Bayliss, Gregor Brown, Matt Ferguson, Rory Darge, Grant Gilchrist, Patrick Harrison, Cameron Henderson, Alec Hepburn, Will Hurd

Backs: Cameron Redpath, Stafford McDowall, Harry Paterson, Arron Reed, Kyle Rowe, Ollie Smith, Kyle Steyn, Ben White, Fergus Burke, Matt Currie, Jamie Dobie, Adam Hastings, Darcy Graham, George Horne, Tom Jordan 

Verdict

Scotland have an excellent record against Samoa and is tipped to cover the -16.5 handicap.

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