Wales vs France Predictions - Wales in for another Six Nations thrashing

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 13 Feb 2026

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Ralph Staniforth 13 Feb 2026

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Wales has lost 23 of their last 25 matches.
France are the reigning Six Nations champions and have won 7 consecutive games against Wales.
France predicted to win big, potentially covering -32.5 point spread.

Expired

France far too good for Wales (Getty Images)

Wales vs France Predictions

There is just no scenario where one can even imagine Wales getting close against this French side. France have world class ability all over the field and should cover the -32.5 handicap.

Wales vs France Predictions
Head to Head
Wales Form
France Form
Wales vs France Lineups & Team News

Wales have lost 23 of their last 25 matches.
France have won their last 7 matches against Wales.
France have scored 40+ points in their last 3 matches against Wales.
France have won their last 3 home matches.

Head to Head

France have won their last seven matches against Wales with the last Wales coming back in 2019. Last season, France thrashed Wales 43-0.

Wales Form

Wales have lost 23 of their last 25 games since the conclusion of the 2023 Rugby World Cup. Both victories came against Japan.

There is a real case of Wales becoming a tier two rugby nation, arguably, from a results perspective, they already are. The Welsh fall has been fast and dramatic with off-field issues compounding matters on the field.

Last weekend, Wales lost 48-7 to England at Twickenham. To end 2025, Wales lost 52-26 to New Zealand and 73-0 to South Africa.

While there were two wins and a defeat against Japan in 2025, Wales also conceded 50 points to Argentina in November.

France Form

France are the defending Six Nations champions and favourites to retain the title this year. England are their likely closest competitors.

After winning the Six Nations in 2025, France sent a second and third string squad to face New Zealand in July, a series they lost 3-0. In November, South Africa defeated France 32-17 in Paris, but the French bounced back with wins over Fiji and Australia.

Last Thursday, France was magnificent, thrashing Ireland 36-14 at home and will be hopeful that they can maintain that level of performance.

Wales vs France Lineups & Team News

Wales have made four changes to their side this weekend with props Rhys Carre and Tomas Francis come into the side.

Wales: 15 Louis Rees-Zammit, 14 Ellis Mee, 13 Eddie James, 12 Joe Hawkins, 11 Josh Adams, 10 Dan Edwards, 9 Tomos Williams, 8 Olly Cracknell, 7 Alex Mann, 6 Aaron Wainwright, 5 Adam Beard, 4 Dafydd Jenkins, 3 Tomas Francis, 2 Dewi Lake, 1 Rhys Carre

Replacements: 16 Ryan Elias, 17 Nicky Smith, 18 Archie Griffin, 19 Ben Carter, 20 Taine Plumtree, 21 Kieran Hardy, 22 Jarrod Evans, 23 Mason Grady

Nicolas Depoortere and Yoram Moefana are both out with injury for this match. Emilien Gailleton and Fabian Bra-Boirie start in midfield.

France: 15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Théo Attissogbe, 13 Émilien Gailleton, 12 Fabien Brau-Boirie, 11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey, 10 Matthieu Jalibert, 9 Antoine Dupont, 8 Anthony Jelonch, 7 Oscar Jegou, 6 François Cros, 5 Michael Guillard, 4 Charles Ollivon, 3 Dorian Aldegheri, 2 Julien Marchand, 1 Jean-Baptiste Gros

Replacements: 16 Maxime Lamothe, 17 Rodrigue Neti, 18 Regis Montagne, 19 Thibaud Flament, 20 Emmanuel Meafou, 21 Lenni Nouchi, 22 Baptiste Serin, 23 Noah Nene

Verdict

Wales v France

France are backed to run in a big score in Cardiff. I am tipping the visitors to win by more than 32.5 points.

Fracne -32.5

Handicap

@1.91 - 5 Units

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