Tonga vs Canada Predictions - Tonga set to beat Canada in third-place playoff

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 2 hours ago

Brad Newcomb 2 hours ago

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Tonga have won 4 in a row against Canada.
Canada have lost 9 of their last 10 games.
Tonga favoured to cover the handicap.

Tonga are on a winning streak against Canada (Getty Images)

Tonga vs Canada Predictions

Tonga vs Canada Predictions
Head to Head
Tonga Form
Tonga Team News & Injuries
Canada Form
Canada Team News & Injuries
Verdict

Tonga had no answer in the Pacific Nations Cup semi-finals, but are on a winning streak against Canada. Canada were outplayed in their previous fixture and have struggled to beat Tonga lately.

Tonga have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures.
Tonga have defeated Canada in 4 consecutive matches.
Canada have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures.

Head to Head

Tonga have a slight edge with six victories to five against Canada in 11 meetings.

Tonga Form

Tonga produced a solid first half against Japan in their semi-final clash last weekend, scoring three tries and two conversions to trail by only two points at the break.

However, the second half painted a different picture, as Tonga conceded five tries, four conversions, and a penalty to lose 62-24.

Earlier in the tournament, Tonga beat Samoa 30-16 and lost 32-10 to Fiji in Pool A of the Pacific Nations Cup.

Tonga lacked consistency in their previous match, but they have defeated Canada four consecutive times, giving them the edge to secure third place in this edition of the Pacific Nations Cup.

Tonga Team News & Injuries

Fotu Lokotui, Ben Tameifuna, Veiseko Poloniati, and John Tapueluelu each scored a try against Japan last weekend.

Patrick Pellegrini slotted two conversions in the match.

Forwards: Tupou Afungia, Kelemete Finau, Halaleva Fifita, Siegfried Fisi'ihoi, Jay Fonokalafi, Fe’ao Fotu’aika, Tanginoa Halaifonua, Lotu Inisi, Fotu Lokotui, Siua Maile, Harison Mataele, Siosiua Moala, Samuela Moli, Ben Tameifuna, Salesi Tu’ifua, Solomone Tukuafu

Backs: James Faiva, Nikolai Foliaki, Aisea Halo, Uilisi Halaholo, Fine Inisi, Solomone Kata, Fetuli Paea, Patrick Pellegrini, Salesi Piutau, Augustine Pulu, Sosefo Sakalia, Sonatane Takulua, John Tapueluelu, Josiah Unga

Canada Form

Canada were poor in the first half against Fiji in their semi-final match last weekend, conceding six tries, five conversions, and a penalty to trail 43-3 at half-time.

Canada scored a converted try in the second half but continued to concede points, losing 63-10 to Fiji.

Before that disappointing result, Canada defeated the United States of America 34-20 and lost 57-15 to Japan in Pool B of the 2025 Pacific Nations Cup.

Canada come into their match against Tonga on the back of two heavy defeats in the tournament, and they have failed to beat their opponents in recent meetings.

Canada Team News & Injuries

Brock Gallagher scored a try against Fiji last weekend.

Peter Nelson kicked over a conversion and a penalty.

Forwards: Austin Creighton, Calixto Martinez, Callum Botchar, Cole Keith, Conor Young, Dewald Kotze, Emerson Prior, Izzak Kelly, Jesse Mackail, Kyle Steeves, Lucas Rumball, Mason Flesch, Matt Heaton, Matthew Oworu, Piers Von Dadelszen, Siôn Parry

Backs: Ben LeSage, Brenden Black, Brock Gallagher, Isaac Olson, Jason Higgins, Josiah Morra, Nic Benn, Noah Flesch, Peter Nelson, Shane O’Leary, Spencer Jones, Stephen Webb