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Cardiff vs Ulster Predictions - Cardiff to edge Ulster at home in Challenge Cup clash

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 12 Dec 2025

Cardiff is looking to extend their unbeaten home streak as they face Ulster, who have been inconsistent on the road in the URC season. Cardiff, having won three consecutive home matches, will be boosted by key players returning after international duties. Meanwhile, Ulster, although strong in the URC, face challenges with recent injuries. Historically, Ulster holds the advantage with four wins in five encounters against Cardiff. Nevertheless, Cardiff's robust home form and returning squad members give them a significant edge in this matchup.

Ralph Staniforth 12 Dec 2025
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  • Cardiff has won all three home matches this season.
  • Ulster has a 4-win advantage in past five matchups against Cardiff.
  • Key Cardiff players return post international duties, boosting their chances.
ulster rugby
Ulster to struggle in Wales (Getty Images)

Cardiff vs Ulster Predictions


Cardiff have been in good form at home at the start of this season, winning all three of their matches. Ulster have won one match and lost one away from home.

  • Cardiff have won their last 3 home matches.
  • Ulster have lost 1 and won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
  • Ulster have won 4 of their 5 meetings against Cardiff.

Head to Head


Cardiff have won one of their five previous matches against Ulster.

Cardiff Form


Cardiff have had a decent run of form at the start of the URC season, winning five of their six matches. However, in their opening Champions Cup match last weekend, they lost at Stade Francais.

With the confidence gained from their impressive run of victories, they were hoping to replicate their league form but came up against a strong Stade Francais side, losing the game 38-17. Prior to this defeat, Cardiff won three in a row at home.

Those victories came by 13 points against Lions, six points against Connacht and one point against Edinburgh.

Cardiff Injuries & Team News


Cardiff welcome back centre Thomas, fly-half Callum Sheedy and tight-head Assiratti after being with the Welsh National team. They are also boosted by the return of wing Josh Adams, who has served his three-match suspension.

Ulster Form


Ulster have made an impressive start to the URC season, winning four of their first five matches.

In their opening Champions Cup game last weekend, Ulster won 61-7 at home to Racing 92. Although Racng 92 did put up a fight, the hosts ran away with it in the end.

During this URC season they have won one and lost one of their away matches.

Ulster Injuries & Team News


Rob Herring sustained a knee injury in the victory over Racing 92 last week. He will have an MRI scan to assess the extent of the injury.

Cormac Izuchukwu, Lorcan McLoughlinn, Ben Carson and Sean Reffell have returned to full team training following their recent injuries and are available for selection.

Verdict

Cardiff are backed to continue their strong season with a home win over Ulster.

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