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Leicester vs Montpellier Predictions & Tips - Montpellier backed to lift European Challenge Cup trophy

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 20 May 2021

Ralph Staniforth 20 May 2021

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Leicester vs Montpellier predictions for Friday’s European Challenge Cup final
The huge clash is being played at 21:00 SAST at Twickenham
Montpellier have won 6 of their last 7 fixtures across all competitions
I'm tipping Montpellier to win the European Challenge Cup
Betting tips, predictions and team news for Leicester vs Montpellier

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Leicester vs Montpellier Predictions

Montpellier go into this mammoth clash in fine form, having won six of their last seven fixtures. Many of those wins have come by convincing margins. My best bet is for Montpellier to win against the odds and claim their second European Challenge Cup title on Friday night at Twickenham.

Leicester have lost 3 of their last 5 matches (all competitions).
Leicester’s last 2 defeats have come by 5 & 16 points (Rugby Premiership).
Montpellier have won 6 of their last 7 matches (all competitions).
Montpellier have won 6 of their last 7 matches by 20, 6, 13, 10, 9 & 19 points (all competitions).

Head to Head

Leicester Tigers and Montpellier have only met twice before with both matches taking place in the pool stages of the 2013/14 Champions Cup. On both occasions Leicester came out on top.

Leicester Form

Leicester Tiger are enjoying a fine season with their first run to a cup final for some time. They defeated the Newcastle Falcons 39-15 in the quarter final before seeing off Ulster 33-24 at home in the semi’s.

Since that semi final victory the Tigers have lost 26-10 to Sale Sharks and beaten Harlequins 35-29 at home in the English Rugby Premiership.

The Tigers are in a secure mid-table position in the Rugby Premiership which has allowed them to rotate their team in preparation of the final.

Leicester Injuries & Team News

Matias Moroni will continue at outside centre for the Tigers with try-scoring machine, Nemani Nadolo on the left wing. Crucial to Leicester’s cause will be the performance George Ford and Richard Wigglesworth as a half-back pairing.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier have had a disappointing Top 14 campaign in France. They find themselves 10th on the table after 23 matches but that belies the talent within the squad.

While they were in a relegation fight a few weeks ago, they have pulled away with two wins in their last three Top 14 matches. Last weekend Montpellier lost 32-10 at Stade Francis but did rest a few players with the final in mind.

In the European Challenge Cup, Montpellier defeated Benetton 31-25 in the quarter-final and Bath 19-10 in the semi-final.

Montpellier Injuries & Team News

Montpellier are close to full strength for the final. Utility back Johan Goosen will start alongside Jan Serfontein at centre. There is only a place for Handre Pollard on the bench as he continues to regain match-fitness after a long injury layoff.

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Verdict

Leicester v Montpellier

Montpellier have hit form at the perfect time. They have claimed six victories from their last seven outings. I'm backing the French outfit to win and cover the -3.5 handicap with relative ease.

Montpellier Win

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Montpellier -3.5

Handicap

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Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.

He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.

Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.

Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf.

He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.