Taranaki vs Northland Predictions - Taranaki to ease past Northland in NPC

Simon Lewis

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Last updated: 30 Jul 2025

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Simon Lewis 30 Jul 2025

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Taranaki expected to dominate Northland at home.
Taranaki finished second last year, strong home form but stumbled in quarters.
Northland finished near bottom last season, won only 2 of 10 matches.

Taranaki to dominate their NPC opener (Getty Images)

Taranaki vs Northland Predictions

Taranaki should be the dominant side in this fixture, particularly at home. They are backed to cover the -14.5 handicap.

Taranaki vs Northland Predictions
Head to Head
Taranaki Form
Taranaki Injuries & Team News
Northland Form
Northland Injuries & Team News

Taranaki won 8 of their 10 NPC round robin matches in 2024.
Taranaki won their last match against Northland.
Northland lost 8 of their 10 NPC matches in 2024.

Head to Head

Over their last six matches, Northland and Taranaki are level at 3-3. They last met in 2023, a match Taranaki won 28-13 away from home.

Taranaki Form

Taranaki may still be hurting after the disappointment of the 2024 NPC. They finished second on the table, winning eight of their 10 round robin matches. Only points difference separated them and Wellington at the top.

However, after showing very strong home form all season, Taranaki choked in the quarter-final, suffering a 15-14 defeat at home against all odds.

It was probably their worst performance of the season, and it just came at the wrong time. This season, they will be hopeful of going all the way.

Taranaki Injuries & Team News

Taranaki have a good squad available without any of their current All Blacks in it. They should comfortably see out this game.

Northland Form

Northland finished the 2024 NPC campaign second from bottom on 15 points. They won just two of their 10 round robin matches.

It was yet another disappointing campaign for Northland, but historically, at least in recent seasons, they don’t compete at the top of the table.

I expect this to be another season of struggle for Northland, but like last season, on their day, they can give some of the bigger sides a scare.

Northland Injuries & Team News

Northland doesn’t have many internationals, so they are not exactly missing out with the All Blacks squad unavailable.

Verdict

Taranaki v Northland

Taranaki should comfortably win this fixture at home. The -14.5 handicap looks good value to me.

Taranaki -14.5

Handicap

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