Italy vs Argentina Predictions - Argentina backed to cover the handicap in Nations Championship clash

Nigel Williams

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Last updated: 20 minutes ago

Nigel Williams 20 minutes ago

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Argentina are tipped to cover the -13.5 handicap against Italy.
Italy have lost all four Nations Championship matches and are missing key players.
Argentina have won the last five meetings, scoring at least 30 points in four.

Argentina backed to cover the handicap in Nations Championship clash (Getty Images)

Italy vs Argentina Predictions

Argentina are favourites to defeat Italy in their Nations Championship clash in Genoa, with the hosts struggling for form and missing several key players through injury. Argentina has dominated recent meetings between the sides and are backed to cover the -13.5 handicap.

Italy vs Argentina Predictions
Head-to-Head
Italy Form
Argentina Form
Team News

Italy have lost all four of their Nations Championship matches.
Italy lost 66-7 to South Africa at home in their previous match.
Italy have conceded 197 points in four Nations Championship matches, averaging 49.25 points per match.
Italy have lost the last five meetings with Argentina.
Argentina have won one and lost three of their four Nations Championship matches.
Argentina lost 42-12 to Ireland away from home in their previous match.
Argentina have scored at least 30 points in four of the last five meetings with Italy.

Head-to-Head

Argentina have won their last five meetings with Italy.

Their most recent encounter was in November 2024, when Argentina defeated Italy 50-18 in Udine. Argentina also recorded a 37-16 victory in November 2021.

Italy Form

Italy suffered a heavy 66-7 defeat to South Africa in their previous Nations Championship match at Allianz Stadium in Turin on 7 November 2026.

The Springboks dominated proceedings, scoring nine tries and restricting Italy to just seven points. The defeat highlighted Italy's defensive struggles, with several key players missing through injury.

Italy have endured a difficult Nations Championship campaign, losing their three previous matches against Japan (27-10), New Zealand (47-17), and Australia (57-10).

Italy have lost all four of their Nations Championship matches, scoring 44 points and conceding 197. Their latest defeat was also their first home match of the competition, leaving them searching for their first victory.

Argentina Form

Argentina lost 42-12 to Ireland in their previous Nations Championship match in Dublin on 6 November 2026.

The Pumas made a promising start but struggled to contain Ireland as the match progressed, eventually conceding six tries in a disappointing away performance.

Argentina have had mixed results in the Nations Championship, losing to Scotland (47-38) and England (31-24), while defeating Wales 35-21 in July.

Argentina have won one and lost three of their four Nations Championship matches, scoring 109 points and conceding 141. Their defeat to Ireland was their first away match of the competition.

Team News

Italy have several injury concerns ahead of the clash, with Tommaso Menoncello, Juan Ignacio Brex, Michele Lamaro, and Sebastian Negri among the key players missing from their recent match against South Africa.

Head coach Gonzalo Quesada will be hoping for some reinforcements, with prop Marco Riccioni returning to the squad ahead of the Argentina encounter.

Argentina also have injury concerns following their defeat to Ireland. Captain Julián Montoya is undergoing concussion protocols, while Juan Cruz Mallía has been ruled out with a knee injury.

Head coach Felipe Contepomi has called up additional players, including Bautista Bernasconi, Facundo Bosch, Matias Medrano, and Tobías Wade, ahead of the trip to Genoa.

Verdict

Italy v Argentina

Argentina has dominated recent meetings between the sides and is backed to cover the -13.5 handicap.

Argentina -13.5

Handicap

@1,90 - 1 Unit

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Nigel combines a love of business and sport as one of the leading experts on South African sport.

Since a young age, he played football, cricket, golf, tennis and squash, and is an avid Arsenal supporter.

His initial foray into the business world was in the financial industry, completing various diploma’s including financial and investment management and credit management, and held various positions in banking.

He subsequently worked on the Leadership media publication and the Global Africa Network Media Trade and Investment platforms, before switching to sport.