Montpellier vs Stade Francais Predictions - Montpellier to see off Stade Francais

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 29 Jan 2026

Brad Newcomb 29 Jan 2026

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Montpellier have won 8 of their last 9 home games.
Stade Francais have lost 15 of their last 17 matches at Montpellier.
Montpellier are tipped to cover the -8.5 handicap.

Montpellier often beat Stade Francais at home (Getty Images)

Montpellier vs Stade Francais Predictions

Montpellier vs Stade Francais Predictions
Head to Head
Montpellier Form
Stade Francais Form
Team News

Montpellier have been in excellent form at home this season. Stade Francais have shown improvement away from home lately, but they have a poor record at Montpellier.

Montpellier have won 3 of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
Montpellier have won 8 of their last 9 home games in all competitions.
Montpellier have won 15 of their last 17 home matches against Stade Francais.
Stade Francais have lost 5 of their last 7 away fixtures in all competitions.
Stade Francais have defeated Montpellier in 5 of their last 6 meetings.

Head to Head

Montpellier have a slight edge with 17 victories to 16 against Stade Francais, including two draws in 35 meetings.

Montpellier lost 35-12 to Stade Francais away from home earlier in the season.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier fell short in their match against Toulon last weekend, losing 30-27 away from home after leading 17-16 at the break.

Montpellier have been in great shape at home in the league this season. They lost 27-17 to Toulon and defeated Toulouse 44-14, La Rochelle 37-13, Lyon 35-13, lost 9-7 to Clermont, and beat Bordeaux 28-24, Castres 33-31, and Bayonne 62-22.

Montpellier are 7th in the Top 14 standings with 39 points from 15 matches.

Montpellier have the advantage over Stade Francais, as they have been performing well at home this season, winning eight of their last nine fixtures, including five in a row.

Stade Francais Form

Stade Francais caused an upset away to Bordeaux last weekend, winning 33-28 after leading 21-14 at half-time.

Before that result, Stade Francais have lost 34-10 to Pau, 42-37 to Lyon, defeated Perpignan 28-11 before losing 29-24 to Castres, 29-17 to Toulouse, 36-32 to Clermont, and 35-24 to Bayonne in the league this season.

Stade Francais are 3rd in the Top 14 table with 43 points from 15 matches.

Stade Francais will be pleased with their efforts in their previous match, but face one of their bogey teams in the French Rugby Championship, having lost 15 of their 17 visits to Montpellier.

Team News

Montpellier

Wilfrid Hounkpatin, Christopher Tolofua, and Jordan Uelese each scored a try against Toulon last weekend.

Hugo Miotti slotted three conversions and two penalties in the match.

Stade Francais

Fly-half Zack Henry will leave the club at the end of the season to join Newcastle in the Premiership.

Joseph Marchant, Peniasi Dakuwaqa, Tanginoa Halaifonua, Jérémy Ward, and Yoan Mangene each crossed the try line against Bordeaux last weekend.

Louis Carbonel landed four conversions in the match.

Verdict

Montpellier v Stade Francais

Montpellier have proven difficult to beat at home this season and are tipped to cover the -8.5 handicap.

Montpellier -8.5

Handicap

@1.91 - 3 Units

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