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Castres vs Clermont Predictions - Castres to win at home in a Top 14 clash

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: 30 Jan 2026

In the upcoming showdown, Castres is the favorite against Clermont, given their solid home form and Clermont's recent away struggles. Castres have won three of their last five home games, despite a recent loss to Bath. Conversely, Clermont's form on the road has been disappointing, with four losses in their last five away matches. Given these circumstances, Castres are expected to cover the -8.5 handicap, enhancing their standing in the Top 14. Team changes are anticipated for Castres, while Clermont faces injury concerns.

Ralph Staniforth 30 Jan 2026
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  • Castres favored to win, strong home record.
  • Clermont lost 4 of last 5 away; struggle on the road.
  • Castres to cover -8.5 handicap seen as the best bet.
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Castres rugby
Castres home form to continue (Getty Images)

Castres vs Clermont Predictions


Castres are favourites at home against Clermont, who have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches. My best bet is Castres to cover the -8.5 handicap.

  • Castres have won 3 of their last 5 home matches.
  • Castres come into this match off the back of a 43-20 loss against Bath.
  • Clermont have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Clermont come into this match off the back of a 50-12 defeat at the Sharks. 

Head to Head


Castres have won one of their last five encounters against Clermont.

Castres Form


Castres have been in decent form at home so far this season, winning three of their last five home matches in all competitions. They come into this match on the back of a 43-20 loss against Bath. 

The match against Bath was lost partly due to Castres' ill-discipline, conceding crucial penalties and handling errors that allowed Bath to relieve pressure and gain territory. 

Their previous home results include a loss against Bordeaux (28-26), followed by wins against Perpignan (23-7), Edinburgh (33-0), and Lyon (36-22), capping off an impressive run of form at home.

Castres are currently eighth in the Top 14, with 37 points after 15 matches.

Castres Injuries & Team News


Castres are expected to make a few changes this week, with a busy schedule ahead.

Clermont Form


Clermont have been poor on the road, having lost four of their last five away matches in all competitions. They come into this match on the back of a 50-12 defeat at the Sharks.

Their previous away results include losses at Lyon (43-24), Saracens (47-10), Perpignan (26-20), and a win at Montauban (34-19).

Clermont are currently fifth in the Top 14, with 40 points after 15 matches.

Clermont Injuries & Team News


Availability is in doubt for Etienne Falgoux (prop), Sacha Lotrian (prop), Selevasio Tolofua (loose-forward), and Bautista Delguy (winger) after the injuries they sustained two weeks ago.

Verdict

Castres are very good at home and are backed to cover the -8.5 handicap.

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ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town. 


He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport. 

Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa. 

Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf. 


He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.

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31 Jan 2026

Castres v Clermont

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