Toulon vs Castres Predictions - Toulon to sink Castres and advance to the semi-finals

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 11 Jun 2025

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Brad Newcomb 11 Jun 2025

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Toulon excels at home, winning 15 of 17 matches.
Castres struggles away, losing 5 of last 6 matches.
Toulon expected to cover -9.5 handicap in playoffs.

Toulon have an impressive record against Castres at home (Getty Images)

Toulon vs Castres Predictions

Toulon vs Castres Predictions
Head to Head
Toulon Form
Toulon Team News & Injuries
Castres Form
Castres Team News & Injuries

Toulon have not been at their best in the Top 14 lately, although they have performed well at home. Castres have struggled to secure victories away from home this season and have a poor record away to Toulon.

Toulon have lost 4 of their last 5 (Top 14).
Toulon have won 15 of their last 17 home matches in all competitions.
Toulon have won 13 of their last 14 home games against Castres.
Castres have lost 3 of their last 5 away fixtures (Top 14).
Castres have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches in all competitions.
Castres have lost 3 consecutive away games to Toulon.

Head to Head

Toulon and Castres have 17 victories each, including two draws in 36 meetings.

Toulon beat Castres 30-28 at home before losing 28-26 away from home in the Top 14 this season.

Toulon Form

Toulon kicked over a solitary penalty in the first half against Bayonne last weekend, going into the break trailing 15-3.

Toulon added a converted try towards the end of the second half, but it was too late, losing 18-10 to Bayonne away from home.

Toulon beat Saracens 72-42, lost 21-18 to Toulouse, defeated Clermont 31-24, and lost 50-16 to Toulouse before beating Bordeaux 27-10 in their last five home fixtures.

Toulon placed 3rd in the Top 14 standings with 72 points from 26 matches.

Toulon will fancy their chances in the playoffs, as they play their best rugby at home, winning 15 of their last 17 fixtures. Furthermore, they have beaten Castres in 13 out of their 14 meetings at their stadium.

Toulon Team News & Injuries

Enzo Herve has scored 99 points in the 2024/25 Top 14.

Gael Drean is the leading try scorer for Toulon this season, dotting down over the try line on 12 occasions.

Castres Form

Castres scored a converted try and a penalty in the first half against Stade Francais last weekend, going into the halftime break trailing 11-10.

Castres failed to add any points to the tally in the second half, losing 21-10 to Stade Francais away from home.

Castres lost 21-17 to Montpellier and drew 12-all against La Rochelle before losing 51-16 to the Northampton Saints, 52-6 to Toulouse, and 34-29 to Bordeaux in their last five away fixtures.

Castres Olympique finished 6th in the Top 14 table with 63 points from 26 games.

Castres must improve their away form to have a chance in the playoffs, as they have gone winless in their last seven matches, which include five losses and two draws. Additionally, they have lost three on the trot away to Toulon.

Castres Team News & Injuries

Remy Baget has scored seven tries for his club this season.

Louis Le Brun has scored 141 points in this edition of the Top 14.

Verdict

Toulon v Castres

Toulon have an outstanding record against Castres on their home turf and is tipped to cover the -9.5 handicap in their playoff clash.

Toulon -9.5

Handicap

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