Ulster vs Stade Francais Predictions - Ulster to register sixth straight win at home

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 16 Jan 2026

Brad Newcomb 16 Jan 2026

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Ulster unbeaten at home, with 5 wins in a row.
Stade Francais leads Pool 2, but struggles away, losing 6 of last 8.
Ulster favoured to cover the handicap.

Expired

Ulster have been in great touch at home lately (Getty Images)

Ulster have been solid in the EPCR Challenge Cup this season and are undefeated at home during this campaign. Stade Francais have won all their matches in the competition but are prone to losing away from home.

Ulster have won 3 consecutive fixtures in all competitions.
Ulster have won 7 of their last 8 home matches in all competitions.
Ulster have lost 3 of their last 4 meetings against Stade Francais.
Stade Francais have won 3 of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions.
Stade Francais have lost 6 of their last 8 away games in all competitions.

Head to Head

Stade Francais have a slight edge with three victories to one over Ulster in four meetings.

Ulster Form

Ulster’s match against the Cheetahs last weekend was moved from the NRCA Stadium to Dukes Rugby due to bad weather; however, it was later postponed and ultimately cancelled, with EPCR awarding Ulster a 28–0 win.

Earlier in the competition, Ulster thumped Racing 92 61-7 at home in their opening pool match before losing 29-26 to Cardiff away from home.

Ulster have contested four home matches in the URC this season. They defeated the Dragons 42-21, the Bulls 28-7, Benetton 47-13, and Munster 28-3.

Ulster are 2nd in Pool 2 with 12 points from three games.

Ulster will fancy their chances against Stade Francais at home, as their opponents consistently struggle to win on the road

Stade Francais Form

Stade Francais produced an excellent second-half display against Exeter last weekend after trailing 17-0 at the break to win 27-25 at home.

Before that, Stade Francais defeated Cardiff 38-17 at home and the Cheetahs 45-22 away in their opening European Challenge Cup fixtures.

Stade Francais have not fared well away from home in the Top 14 this season. They lost 3410 to Pau, 42-37 to Lyon, defeated Perpignan 28-11 before losing 29-24 to Castres, 29-17 to Toulouse, 36-32 to Clermont, and 35-24 to Bayonne.

Stade Francais are 1st in Pool 2 with 15 points from three matches.

Stade Francais have a tough assignment ahead to achieve victory in Ireland, as Ulster have been in fine fettle at home this season, winning all of their fixtures.

Team News

Ulster

Head coach Richie Murphy has stated that a home win against Stade Francais will help their cause in the EPCR Challenge Cup this season: “If we win the game on the weekend, then we will finish in the top three seeds. This means we can control the next few opportunities we have in this competition.”

Eli Snyman has signed from Benetton on a two-year deal ahead of next season.

Jacob Stockdale, Robert Baloucoune and Ethan McIlroy are fit and available for selection.

Stade Francais

Thibaut Motassi has scored three tries in the 2025/26 European Challenge Cup.

Louis Foursans-Bourdette has landed ten conversions and a penalty so far.

Verdict

Ulster v Stade Francais

Ulster have been in excellent form at home this season and are tipped to cover the -17.5 handicap.

Ulster -17.5

Handicap

@1.91 - 3 Units

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