Canada vs USA Predictions - USA to come out on top against Canada in third-place play-off

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 26 minutes ago

Brad Newcomb 26 minutes ago

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USA have beaten Canada in 4 of their last 6 meetings.
Canada lost 3 of their last 4 games.
USA are predicted to cover the -9.5 handicap in the third-place play-off.

The United States have been in solid form this year (Getty Images)

Canada have been struggling to win their matches against the USA lately, and in recent outings. The USA were outplayed in their 2026 Pacific Nations Cup semi-final, but they have been in solid form this season.

USA have won 4 of their last 5 games.
USA have won 4 of their last 6 matches against Canada.
Canada have lost 3 of their last 4 fixtures.

Head to Head

The USA have a commanding lead over Canada, with 11 victories to three in 14 meetings since 2013.

Canada Form

Canada scored two converted tries and a penalty in the first half in their Pacific Nations semi-final match against Fiji last weekend, going into the break trailing 26-17 at half-time.

Les Rouges added two tries and a conversion in the second half, but could not close the points gap on Fiji, losing 45-29.

Before that, the Canucks faced Japan in a friendly international at the beginning of September, losing 57-12.

In July, Canada played three matches in the World Rugby Nations Cup. They drew 42-42 with Spain and lost 38-14 to Portugal before beating Zimbabwe 23-19.

Canada have not had much success lately, losing three of their last four fixtures, and will have to play well to beat the USA in their third-place play-off match, as their opponents have won four of their previous five games.

USA Form

The USA scored two converted tries in the first half in their 2026 Pacific Nations Cup semi-final clash against Japan last weekend, going into half-time trailing 35-14.

The United States had no answer in the second half, conceding 28 unanswered points to lose 63-14 to Japan.

Before that, the USA Men's Eagles contested three matches in this year's World Rugby Nations Cup. They edged Portugal 30-29, defeated Zimbabwe 31-15, and beat Spain 29-22.

The USA have been playing well this year, despite their recent result, and will fancy their chances against Canada, having defeated their opponents in four of their last six matches.

Team News

Canada

Mason Flesch scored a brace against Fiji last weekend.

Sion Parry and Kyle Tremblay contributed a try each.

Takoda McMullin slotted three conversions and a penalty in the match.

Forwards: Austin Creighton, Foster DeWitt, Dewald Kotze, Sam Miller, Emerson Prior, Kyle Steeves, Sam Turner, Bryce Worden, Callum Botchar, Ryan Cozens, Daragh Doyle, Izzak Kelly, Barnaby Waddell, Mason Flesch, Ethan Fryer, Cody Nhanala, Sion Parry, Lucas Rumball

Backs: Jesse Kilgour, Stephen Webb, Cooper Coats, Liam James, Jacob Ince, Spencer Jones, Ben LeSage, Josh McIndoe, Takoda McMullin, Isaac Olson, Kyle Tremblay, Jamie Armstrong, Jack Gore

USA

Shilo Klein and Tavite Lopeti scored a try each against Japan last weekend.

Christopher Hilsenbeck landed two conversions in the match.

Forwards: Shilo Klein, Campbell Robb, Joe Taufeteʻe, Tonga Kofe, Alex Maughan, Ma'ake Muti, Mason Pedersen, Fakaʻosi Pifeleti, Payton Telea-Ilalio, Jason Damm, Nathan Den Hoedt, Sam Golla, Brandon Harvey, Makeen Alikhan, Benjamín Bonasso, Marno Redelinghuys, Paddy Ryan, Lance Williams

Backs: Michael Baska, Ruben de Haas, Ethan McVeigh, Luke Carty, Davy Cotzer, Christopher Hilsenbeck, Dominic Besag, Tavite Lopeti, Cassh Maluia, Tom Pittman, Noah Brown, Mark O'Keeffe, Julian Roberts, Mitch Wilson

Verdict

Canada v USA

The USA have had regular success against Canada recently and are tipped to cover the -9.5 handicap in their Pacific Nations Cup third-place play-off match.

USA -9.5

Handicap

@1,95 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.