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Bochum vs Mainz Predictions - Score draw backed in Bundesliga basement battle

james-o-connor
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Last updated: 26 Oct 2023
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James O'Connor 26 Oct 2023
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  • Bochum vs Mainz Predictions for Friday’s Bundesliga match (20:30 SAST)
  • The hosts have drawn 4 of their last 7 matches
  • Can either of these winless sides get their first victory of the season?
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Score draw backed between two struggling teams (Getty Images)

Bochum vs Mainz Predictions


This sees the bottom two face off with neither tasting victory in eight matches so far. The teams can’t be separated so I’m tipping a draw. Recent stats suggest both sides will score at least once.
  • Bochum vs Mainz Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Bochum Form & Team News
  • Bochum Predicted Lineup
  • Mainz Form & Team News
  • Mainz Predicted Lineup

  • Bochum have drawn 4 of their last 7 matches (Bundesliga).
  • Bochum have seen BTTS Yes in 5 of their last 7 matches (Bundesliga).
  • Mainz have lost 10 of their last 13 matches (Bundesliga).
  • Mainz have seen BTTS Yes in 4 of their last 5 matches (Bundesliga).

Head to Head


Mainz hold a 12-7 advantage over Bochum across 21 previous meetings with two draws.

Mainz won 5-2 at home when the teams last met in January 2023.

Bochum Form & Team News


After finishing two points above relegation last season, it’s been a poor start to this campaign. After eight rounds, Bochum have just four points and no victories with a -15 goal difference.

After an opening day thrashing, they eked out three draws including 1-1 at home to Dortmund. A 7-0 thrashing at Bayern Munich in round five followed with 5.05 xG and 26 shots allowed.

They’ve since lost 3-1 at home to Borussia Monchengladbach and then got a 0-0 at RB Leipzig despite allowing 2.55 xG. Their last match saw a deserved 2-1 loss at Freiburg (2.43 xG allowed).

Coach Thomas Letsch has a number of injury concerns. Midfielder Patrick Osterhage and goalkeeper Michael Esser are out injured. 

Attackers Matus Bero and Lys Mousset remains absent with long-term problems. 

Bochum Predicted Lineup


Riemann; Ordets, Schlotterbeck, Bernardo; Gamboa, Losilla, Stoger, Soares; Asano, Paciencia, Antwi-Adjej. 

Mainz Form & Team News


Mainz sit bottom of the Bundesliga are a dire start to the 2023-24 season. Their eight matches have seen six losses with 22 goals conceded already.

FSV Mainz 05 took a point in round two and then lost five matches in a row. A 3-0 home defeat to log leaders Bayer Leverkusen preceded a 2-2 draw at Borussia Monchengladbach despite allowing 2.30 xG and only producing 0.75 xG.

Last time out, they lost 3-1 at home to Bayern Munich. They actually outshot their opponents 16-13 in that defeat.

Defender Andreas Hanche-Olsen is out injured. Right back Philipp Mwene will also play no part here. 

In attack, Nelson Weiper and Jonathan Burkardt are both missing for coach Bo Svensson.

Mainz Predicted Lineup


Zentner; Fernandes, Bell, Van Den Berg; Costa, Barreiro, Kohr, Caci; Gruda, Lee; Ajorque.

Verdict

I see this match ending in a draw. I'm tipping a score draw and a 1-1 score-line.

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27 Oct 2023

Bochum v Mainz