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Arsenal vs Porto Predictions - Gunners Champions League Response

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 11 Mar 2024
Ralph Staniforth 11 Mar 2024
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  • Arsenal vs Porto tips for Tuesday’s UCL match
  • Mikel Arteta’s side have won their last 4 matches
  • Can the Gunners bounce back from a first-leg defeat?
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Arsenal
Arsenal have allowed -1 expected goals in their last 8 matches (Getty Images)

Arsenal vs Porto Preview


There were few chances between Arsenal and Porto in the first-leg and another cagey match is anticipated. The Gunners can generate enough chances and keep a clean sheet at the Emirates to overturn a 1-0 aggregate deficit.
  • Arsenal vs Porto Preview
  • Head-to-Head
  • Arsenal Form
  • Arsenal Injuries & Team News
  • Porto Form
  • Porto Injuries & Team News

  • Arsenal have won their last 4 matches
  • Arsenal have allowed -1 expected goals in their last 8 matches
  • Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in their last 4 home matches
  • Arsenal have won to nil in 3 of their last 6 matches
  • Arsenal have won to nil in their last 3 home matches against Porto

Head-to-Head


Arsenal and Porto have won three matches each and drawn once in seven previous meetings. 

Arsenal Form


Arsenal have won eight of their last nine matches in all competitions, including four victories at the Emirates.

The North Londoners' only recent defeat came at Porto (1-0) in the Champions League round of 16 first leg. Arsenal have since notched three consecutive wins against Newcastle (4-1), Sheffield United (6-0) and Brentford (2-1). 

Declan Rice scored first in the Brentford win and the Gunners dominated with 1.59-0.73 expected goals. Arsenal conceded after half time before Kai Havertz netted a late winner. 

Arsenal Injuries & Team News


Forward Gabriel Martinelli is doubtful.

Defender Jurrien Timber is ruled out. 

Porto Form


Porto are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 matches in all competitions. The Dragons only recent dropped points came away at Arouca (3-2) and Gil Vicente (1-1).

Sérgio Conceição’s outfit responded to the draw at Gil Vincente with three straight victories. Wins came against Santa Clara (2-1), Benfica (5-0) and Portimonense (3-0).

Porto was in complete control during the win over Portimonense with 20-6 shots and 68% possession. Nico González, Galeno and Pepê Aquino were on the scoresheet to seal the victory. 

Porto Injuries & Team News


Defensive pair Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano are out.

Forward Gabriel Veron is also unavailable due to injury.

Verdict

Arsenal are playing with confidence, especially at the Emirates, and Mikel Arteta’s side are strong at both ends. Porto are likely to be penned back in North London and an Arsenal win to nil is the best bet.

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12 Mar 2024

Arsenal v FC Porto