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England vs Scotland Predictions & Tips - Three Lions tipped to beat the handicap

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 16 Jun 2021

Ralph Staniforth 16 Jun 2021

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England vs Scotland predictions for Friday’s European Championship clash
The Group D match is being played at 9pm SAST at Wembley in London
England have won to nil in 7 of their last 9 outings
I'm backing England to cover a -1 handicap and win to nil
Betting tips, predictions and team news for England vs Scotland

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England vs Scotland Predictions

England did the job against Croatia and they rarely concede goals at Wembley. Scotland lack attacking quality and they concede a lot of goals. I'm tipping the Three Lions to cover a -1 handicap and win to nil on Friday.

England have won to nil in 7 their last 9 matches (all competitions)
England have won 7 of their last 9 matches against Scotland (all competitions)
England have covered a -1 handicap in 5 of their last 8 matches against Scotland (all competitions)
England have scored 2+ goals in their last 4 matches against Scotland (all competitions)
Scotland have conceded 2+ goals in 2 of their last 3 matches (all competitions)

Head-to-Head

England have a 48-41 advantage against Scotland in 114 with 25 draws.

England defeated Scotland 2-0 in the last meeting between the sides at the Euros.

England Form

England produced a solid performance in their opening Group D match, comfortably defeating Croatia 1-0. The result extended the Three Lions’ winning streak to seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Gareth Southgate’s side started on the front foot and Phil Foden hit the post early on. England remained patient and created better chances with Raheem Sterling scoring the winner on 57 minutes.

The Three Lions were difficult to break down and finished the match with 1.47 to 0.53 expected goals.

England have been hard to beat at home, winning 16 of their last 17. Southgate's side have also kept 12 clean sheets during this run.

England Injuries & Team News

Goalkeepers: Aaron Ramsdale, Sam Johnstone, Jordan Pickford

Defenders: Ben Chilwell, Conor Coady, Reece James, Harry Maguire, Tyrone Mings, Luke Shaw, John Stones, Kieran Trippier, Kyle Walker, Ben White

Midfielders: Jude Bellingham, Jordan Henderson, Mason Mount, Kalvin Phillips, Declan Rice

Forwards: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish, Harry Kane, Marcus Rashford, Bukayo Saka, Jadon Sancho, Raheem Sterling

Goalkeeper Dean Henderson suffered a hip injury in training and has withdrawn from the squad. Aaron Ramsdale has been called up in his place.

Defender Harry Maguire is doubtful with injury. Tyrone Mings and John Stones impressed against Croatia and should to retain their places at centre back.

Gareth Southgate is unlikely to change his favoured 4-2-3-1 formation and should name an unchanged starting XI.

Scotland Form

Scotland fell to a 2-0 defeat against the Czech Republic in their opening Euro 2020 match.

The Tartan Army were on top for large spells and had 58% possession and 19 shots. Lyndon Dykes and Andy Robertson both went close in the first half.

Scotland conceded before halftime and responded positively in the second period as Jack Hendry hit the crossbar. They conceded a second and struggled to find a way back into the match, despite several good chances and 2.29 expected goals.

It was the first match in five where Scotland failed to score. Steve Clarke's side have won just twice in their last eight matches, defeating Luxembourg 1-0 and the Faroe Islands 4-0.

Scotland Injuries & Team News

Goalkeepers: Craig Gordon, David Marshall, Jon McLaughlin

Defenders: Nathan Patterson, Stephen O’Donnell, Andy Robertson, Kieran Tierney, Greg Taylor, Liam Cooper, Grant Hanley, Declan Gallagher, Scott McKenna, Jack Hendry

Midfielders: Billy Gilmour, Callum McGregor, Scott McTominay, Stuart Armstrong, John McGinn, John Fleck, David Turnbull

Forwards: Che Adams, James Forrest, Ryan Christie, Ryan Fraser, Lyndon Dykes, Kevin Nisbet

Full-back Kieran Tierney could be in contention following a knock. He could replace Stephen O’Donnell in the right wing-back role.

Striker Che Adams could be recalled after a bright second half against the Czech Republic. Adams may partner Lyndon Dykes upfront in the 3-5-2 formation.

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Verdict

England v Scotland

England worked hard to beat Croatia in their opener. Scotland struggled against the Czech Republic, with their form in front of goal a concern. I'm backing England to cover a -1 handicap and win to nil at Wembley on Friday.

England Win to Nil

Win to Nil

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England -1

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