Saracens vs Toulouse Predictions - Toulouse to see off Saracens away

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 09 Jan 2026

Brad Newcomb 09 Jan 2026

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Saracens show inconsistent form; strong at home but faltered recently.
Toulouse in good shape, solid in recent away games.
Toulouse predicted to cover a -11.5 handicap against Saracens.

Toulouse have an excellent record in the European Rugby Champions Cup (Getty Images)

Saracens have had a decent beginning to their European Champions Cup campaign, but have lacked consistency lately. Toulouse have been in solid form in recent outings.

Toulouse have won 4 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
Toulouse have won 2 of their last 3 away matches in all competitions.
Saracens have lost 4 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
Saracens have won 4 of their last 6 home games in all competitions.

Head to Head

Saracens and Toulouse have two victories each in four meetings.

Saracens Form

Saracens had a perfect start to their European Rugby Champions Cup campaign, thrashing Clermont 47-10 at home before losing 28-23 to the Sharks in Durban.

Saracens lost 49-34 to Northampton Saints, defeated Bristol 50-17, Sale Sharks 65-14 and Newcastle 43-0, before losing 36-24 to Bath and 30-24 to Exeter in the Premiership and Premiership Rugby Cup this season.

Saracens have played their best rugby at home this season, but they have faltered in their last two outings, which could be their undoing when they host Toulouse on Sunday.

Toulouse Form

Toulouse thumped the Sharks 56-19 in the Investec Champions Cup opener before losing 28-21 to the Glasgow Warriors away from home.

Toulouse have had mixed fortunes away from home in the Top 14 this season. They lost 44-14 to Montpellier, 40-26 to Bayonne, 30-26 to Pau, and defeated Montauban 49-7 and Lyon 41-19 before losing 30-27 to Perpignan in their last five away league games.

Toulouse have been in solid form lately, including a demolition of La Rochelle, and they have won two of their last three away games, giving them the edge over Saracens in this European Rugby Champions Cup clash.

Team News

Saracens

Director of rugby Mark McCall has highlighted that Toulouse will be aiming for victory this weekend: “They rested their squad for the Top 14 game that they had last weekend and this competition is huge for them – they know the rewards you get at home for the last 16 and quarter-finals – so of course they’re going to bring their very best but that’s exciting as well."

Toulouse

Ange Capuozzo and Kalvin Gourgues have scored three tries each in the 2025/26 European Rugby Champions Cup.

Thomas Ramos has landed all 11 of his conversions in the competition so far.

Verdict

Saracens v Toulouse

Toulouse will have enough firepower to cover the -11.5 handicap in their Investec Champions Cup match against Saracens.

Toulouse -11.5

Handicap

$1.91 - 3 Units

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