2025 NPC Round 9 Predictions & Tips

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Northland vs Canterbury Predictions - Canterbury to register another away victory

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 26 Sep 2025

Brad Newcomb 26 Sep 2025

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Canterbury are top of the NPC with 7 wins in last 8 matches.
Northland have a historically struggled to beat Canterbury.
Canterbury are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap in this matchup.

Expired

Canterbury have yet to lose an away game this season (Getty Images)

Northland vs Canterbury Predictions

Northland vs Canterbury Predictions
Head to Head
Northland Form
Northland Team News & Injuries
Canterbury Form
Canterbury Team News & Injuries

Northland have been in decent form this season but have a dismal record against their visitors. Canterbury lost their first NPC match last weekend but often beat Northland.

Canterbury have won 7 of their last 8 fixtures.
Canterbury have won 4 consecutive away games.
Northland have won 4 of their last 5 home matches.
Northland have lost 9 in a row to Canterbury.

Head to Head

Canterbury have a commanding lead of nine victories to none against Northland in nine meetings in the National Provincial Championship.

Northland Form

Northland scored three tries and two conversions in the first half against North Harbour last weekend, going into the break with a 19-14 lead.

Northland struggled to score in the second half and were on course to lose the match before kicking over a penalty in the 80th minute to beat North Harbour 22-21 away from home.

Northland have played four home fixtures this season. They defeated Southland 22-17, lost 28-14 to Tasman, then beat Hawke's Bay 27-22 and Wellington 43-26.

Northland are 8th in the National Provincial Championship table with 24 points from eight matches.

Northland have been in solid form, winning four of their last five; however, they go into this match at a disadvantage, as their record against Canterbury is poor.

Northland Team News & Injuries

Starting XV: Jordan Trainor, Nathan Salmon, Solomon Alaimalo, Reesjan Pasitoa, Paula Balekana, Rivez Reihana, Josh Renton, Esile Fono, Jordan Hutchings, Chris Apoua, Allan Craig, Liam Hallam-Eames, Rob Rush, Jake Heenan, Terrell Peita

Reserves: James Mullan, Olly Ryan, Coree Te Whata-Colley, Lachlan Hooper, Zac Shanks, Sam Howling, Reuben Stewart, Brady Rush

Canterbury Form

Canterbury produced a solid first half against Otago last weekend, scoring four tries and two conversions to lead by ten at half-time.

Canterbury added two tries and a conversion in the second half but fell short, losing 38-36 to Otago at home.

Canterbury have won all their away fixtures this season. They defeated Wellington 33-15, Bay of Plenty 21-7, Hawke's Bay 26-7, and Southland 54-14.

Canterbury are 1st in the National Provincial Championship standings with 35 points from eight games.

Canterbury succumbed to their first defeat of the season in their previous fixture but will fancy their chances against a Northland side they regularly defeat in the NPC.

Canterbury Team News & Injuries

Starting XV: Andrew Knewstubb, Manasa Mataele, Tevita Latu, Toby Bell, Kurtis MacDonald, Shun Miyake, Riley Williams, Lewis Ponini, Nick Hyde, Gus Brown, Tahlor Cahill, Zach Gallagher, Dom Gardiner, Tom Christie, George Reeves

Reserves: George Bell, Daniel Lienert-Brown, Seb Calder, Liam Jack, Xavier Treacy, Tyson Belworthy, Jone Rova, James Cameron

Verdict

Northland v Canterbury

Canterbury are the standout team in the NPC this season and are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap in their clash with Northland.

Canterbury -7.5

Handicap

@1.91 - 3 Units

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