Toulon vs Stormers Predictions - Toulon to edge Stormers at home in a European Champions Cup Round of 16 clash

Nigel Williams

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Last updated: 03 Apr 2026

Nigel Williams 03 Apr 2026

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Toulon favored to cover -5.5 handicap against Stormers.
Toulon has won 3 of last 5 home matches.
Stormers struggling on the road with 3 out of 5 losses.

Expired

Toulon are backed to win at home (Getty Images)

Toulon vs Stormers Predictions

Toulon are favourites at home with a perfect head-to-head record. My best bet is Toulon to cover the -5.5 handicap.

Toulon vs Stormers Predictions
Head to Head
Toulon Form
Toulon Injuries & Team News
Stormers Form
Stormers Injuries & Team News

Toulon have won 3 of their last 5 matches at home.
Toulon have won their 1 encounter against the Stormers.
Toulon come into this match on the back of a 46-27 loss against Stade Francais.
Toulon have won three of their last five home matches by more than six points.
Stormers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches on the road.
Stormers come into this match on the back of a 32-19 win at the Bulls in a local derby.

Head to Head

Toulon have won their one encounter against the Stormers.

Toulon Form

Toulon have had a decent run of form at home, winning three of their last five home matches across the Top 14 and the Champions Cup. They come into this match on the back of a 46-27 loss against Stade Francais.

Their previous home results include wins against Perpignan (31-16), Munster (27-25), and Montpellier (30-27), and a loss against Clermont Auvergne (34-14).

Toulon finished in second place in Pool Two of the Group Stage.

Toulon Injuries & Team News

Toulon will be counting on their formidable, physically imposing forward pack to lay the foundation for the rest of the team.

Stormers Form

Stormers have had a mixed run of form on the road, losing three of their last five matches across the United Rugby Championship and the Champions Cup. They come into this match on the back of a 32-19 win at the Bulls.

Their previous away results include a win at Bayonne (26-17), followed by losses at Harlequins (61-10), Sharks (36-24), and the Lions (24-10).

Stormers finished in third place in Pool Three of the Group Stage.

Stormers Injuries & Team News

Director of Rugby John Dobson has emphasized the need to be more clinical than in their previous meeting, stating they will "give it a full go" to become the first South African team to reach the semi-finals.

Forwards coach Rito Hlungwani has hinted at a potential starting lineup change, suggesting that they are evaluating options for the tight clash. There is also speculation regarding the inclusion of key playmakers to combat Toulon's fast-paced game.

Verdict

Toulon v Stormers

The Stormers have struggled in the second half of the season after flying out of the blocks early. Given this, I feel Toulon will have too much quality at home. Toulon are backed to cover -5.5.