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Northland vs Tasman Predictions - Northland set to beat Tasman at home

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 27 Aug 2026

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Brad Newcomb 27 Aug 2026

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Northland unbeaten in last 5 home games (4 wins, 1 draw).
Tasman have lost 3 of last 5 away matches.
Northland are tipped to cover the -5.5 handicap vs Tasman.

Expired

Northland have played solid rugby at home this season (Getty Images)

Northland secured an excellent victory in their previous NPC fixture and have been in solid form at home recently. Tasman have also found some form, but they are prone to inconsistent performances away from home.

Northland have won 3 of their last 4 fixtures.
Northland have won 5 of their last 7 home matches.
Tasman have lost 3 of their last 5 away games.

Head to Head

Tasman have the advantage over Northland, with seven victories to three in ten meetings in the National Provincial Championship.

Northland Form

Northland produced a solid first half against Canterbury last weekend, scoring three converted tries to lead 21-12 at half-time.

The Taniwha added two tries, a conversion and a penalty in the second half to beat Canterbury 36-12 away from home.

At the start of the season, Northland thumped Manawatu 40-14 at home and lost 34-21 away to Bay of Plenty before thrashing Taranaki 42-0 at home.

The Taniwha are second in the National Provincial Championship table with 17 points from four matches.

Northland have historically struggled to beat Tasman in recent meetings; however, they have been playing well this season, and are undefeated in their last five home games, which includes four victories and a draw.

Tasman Form

Tasman scored two tries and a conversion in the first half against Southland last weekend, going into the break with the score level at 12-12.

However, the home side were in fine form in the second half, scoring six tries and two conversions against Southland to easily win 46-17.

Before that, the Makos edged North Harbour 31-29 at home and lost 50-19 away to Hawke's Bay before beating Counties Manukau 50-35 away.

Tasman are sixth in the National Provincial Championship standings with 15 points from four games.

Tasman have been in solid form in the league so far, but they have lacked consistency on the road recently, suffering three defeats in their last five fixtures.

Team News

Northland

Rob Rush scored a brace against Canterbury last weekend.

James Mullan, Marcel Renata, and Sam Nock contributed a try each in the match.

Rivez Reihana slotted four conversions and a penalty.

Starting XV: Esile Fono, James Mullan, Marcel Renata, Josh Goodhue, Allan Craig, Rob Rush, Lachie Hooper, Terrell Peita, Sam Nock, Rivez Reihana (C), Brady Rush, Hudson Creighton, Heremaia Murray, Nathan Salmon, Jordan Trainor

Replacements: Heath Macewan, Olly Ryan, Daniel Botha, Darcy Holwell, Grady Forbes, Josh Benton, Jade Stewart, James Ramm

Tasman Mako

Kyren Taumoefolau scored a brace against Southland last weekend.

Johnny Lee, Wil Thornalley, Lopeti Faifua, Maloni Kunawave, David Havili, and Taine Robinson each crossed the try line in the match.

William Havili landed two conversions, while Taine Robinson kicked over one.

Starting XV: Tom Heywood, Eli Oudenryn, Kershawl Sykes-Martin, Hunter Leppien, Antonio Shalfoon, Lopeti Faifua, Rory Scott, Johnny Lee (C), Wil Thornalley, William Havili, Maloni Kunawave, David Havili, Cooper Roberts, Kyren Taumoefoleau, Taine Robinson

Replacements: Richie Asiata, Ryan Coxon, Sione Mafi, Jake Frost, Tayne Hemopo, Mason Lund, Cooper Grant, Nic Saurira

Verdict

Northland v Tasman

Northland have been in solid form in the NPC lately and are tipped to cover the -5.5 handicap in their clash with Tasman.

Northland -5.5

Handicap

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Northland Win

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.