Otago vs North Harbour Predictions - Otago backed for narrow win
Otago, currently second in the NPC standings, are aiming for a home quarterfinal and need to win their last two games to secure it. North Harbour, despite being winless this season, have kept their last three matches close, losing each by three points or fewer. Otago's strong form and North Harbour's resilience against the handicap suggest a competitive contest. The key prediction is for Otago to win, but by less than 14.5 points, as North Harbour continue to fight hard even in defeat.
- Otago are second on the table with 6 wins in 8 matches.
- North Harbour have lost all 8 games but kept their last 3 losses within 3 points.
- Best bet: Otago to win by less than 14.5 points.

North Harbour have covered the +14.5 handicap in their last 3 matches. (Getty Images)
Otago vs North Harbour Predictions
Otago are on the bring of a home quarterfinal and semi-final if they win their quarter, but they will have to get victory in their final two games. North Harbour have yet to win a game all season, but they have come within three points in their last three games.
- Otago vs North Harbour Predictions
- Head to Head
- Otago Form
- North Harbour Form
My best bet is for Otago to win by less than 14.5 points.
- Otago have won 6 of their last 8 matches.
- North Harbour have lost their last 8 matches.
- North Harbour have covered the +14.5 handicap in their last 3 matches.
Head to Head
North Harbour lead 3-2 over the last five matches against Otago. When they last met in 2023, North Harbour won 27-24 at home.
Otago Form
Otago are flying high at the moment in the NPC. They are second on the table with 31 points, four points behind Canterbury. After six wins in eight matches, the Dunedin-bases side will start fancying their chances this season.
Just two rounds remain before the knockouts and while overtaking Canterbury may be a tough ask, Otago need to keep winning to remain second. With four wins in their last five, Otago are in fine form.
Last weekend, Otago won 38-36 in a cracking contest at Canterbury. It was also Canterbury’s first defeat of the season.
North Harbour Form
North Harbour are bottom of the NPC table after eight matches. They have lost all eight and only have five points to show for their efforts.
There is nothing other than pride to play for in the final two weeks of action. While getting off the mark in the win column will be some sort of positive, performances this season have hardly inspired confidence.
That said, over the last three rounds, North Harbour have challenged and been rather unfortunate to lose all. They went down 22-19 at Counties Manukau before losing 29-28 at Waikato. Last weekend, North Harbour lost 22-21 at home to Northland.
Verdict
North Harbour can get within 14.5 points of Otago.
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