2025 NPC Round 9 Predictions & Tips

Southland vs Tasman Predictions - Tasman backed to thrash Southland in NPC

Simon Lewis

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Last updated: 23 Sep 2025

Simon Lewis 23 Sep 2025

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Both teams lost their last 3 matches.
Southland conceded 54, 64 & 75 points in those defeats.
Tasman have won the last 10 games vs Southland and are tipped to win with a -22 handicap.

Tasman have won their last 10 matches against Southland. (Getty Images)

Southland vs Tasman Predictions

Both teams come into this match off the back of three straight defeats. However, Tasman have lost by narrow margins while Southland conceded 50+ points in all three games. I am backing the visitors to cover the -22 handicap.

Southland vs Tasman Predictions
Head to Head
Southland Form
Tasman Form

Southland have lost their last 3 matches.
Southland have conceded 54, 64 & 75 points in their last 3 matches.
Tasman have lost their last 3 matches.
Tasman have won their last 10 matches against Southland.

Head to Head

Tasman have won their last 10 matches against Southland. They have not met since 2022, though.

Southland Form

Southland have had a decent season but still find themselves second from bottom. They have won three of their eight games which has included some impressive results

Southland lost their opening two games but bounced back with three wins in a row against Manawatu at home, away to Bay of Plenty and away to Waikato.

That string of results put them on course for a playoff spot, but the last three weeks have been a humiliation to say the least. It started with a 54-14 home loss to Canterbury before losing 64-10 at home to Counties Manukau. Last week it got worse as Wellington humiliated them 75-19.

Tasman Form

Tasman came into the 2025 NPC as the favourites to win the title, but the season has not gone according to plan. They are still in the playoff spots in seventh with four wins and four defeats, and just two points off fourth.

On the opening day Tasman were well beaten by Bay of Plenty, but they ran in four successive wins thereafter against Manawatu, Northland, North Harbour and Otago.

That put them on an upward curve but since beating Otago, Tasman have lost three on the bounce. A 29-21 loss at home to Auckland began the rut before an impressive performance saw them go down 31-25 to the then unbeaten Canterbury away. In their last game, Tasman were beaten 29-24 at home by Waikato.

Verdict

Southland v Tasman

I am backing Tasman to get back to winning ways by covering the -22 handicap.

Tasman -22

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