Japan vs Australia Predictions - Japan to push Australia in rugby international fixture
The Japan vs Australia rugby matchup sees Australia with a perfect record against Japan, but recent games hint at a closer contest. Japan started strong by defeating Italy and delivering credible performances against top sides, though recent losses expose weaknesses. Australia, after early struggles, delivered an emphatic win over Italy under new coaches. Experts expect Japan to stay competitive and recommend backing them to get within a +15.5 point handicap, reflecting recent improvement and Australia’s occasional inconsistency.
- Australia unbeaten against Japan; last win by 4 points.
- Japan in improving form, tipped to finish within +15.5 handicap.
- Australia boosted by a big win over Italy and new coaching staff.
Japan to make it a tight contest against Wallabies (Getty Images)
Japan vs Australia Predictions
Japan have never beaten Australia but did come close later in 2025. I believe the hosts will get within the +15.5 handicap.
- Japan lost their last 2 matches.
- Japan have lost their last 3 matches against Australia.
- Australia won their last match.
Head to Head
Australia have a 100% win record against Japan. They last met in November 2025, a match Australia won by four points.
Japan Form
Japan started the Nations Championship with a superb performance, beating Italy 27-10 on home soil. It was a surprise result for many given Italy's performances in the 2026 Six Nations.
Another credible performance followed in Australia where japan lost 36-20 to Ireland. It was late in the game before the Irish pulled away.
Their last match didn't go so well though, with the Brave Blossoms going down 42-15 to France.
Australia Form
Australia had a tough start to the Nations Championship against Ireland. They were very good in the first half, building a 13-point lead but ultimately couldn't hold on for the win.
The same pattern occured the following week against France - a top class first half was followed by a second half littered with errors as France ran out victors.
The Wallabies did bounce back in the final game against Italy, winning 57-10 in Perth. That will hopefully give the team confidence along with a new coaching staff that has taken over.
Verdict
Japan are backed to get within 15.5 points.
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