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Japan vs Australia Predictions - Japan to push Australia in rugby international fixture

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: 2 hours ago

The Japan vs Australia rugby matchup sees Australia with a perfect record against Japan, but recent games hint at a closer contest. Japan started strong by defeating Italy and delivering credible performances against top sides, though recent losses expose weaknesses. Australia, after early struggles, delivered an emphatic win over Italy under new coaches. Experts expect Japan to stay competitive and recommend backing them to get within a +15.5 point handicap, reflecting recent improvement and Australia’s occasional inconsistency.

Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • Australia unbeaten against Japan; last win by 4 points.
  • Japan in improving form, tipped to finish within +15.5 handicap.
  • Australia boosted by a big win over Italy and new coaching staff.
australia vs italy rugby
Japan to make it a tight contest against Wallabies (Getty Images)

Japan vs Australia Predictions


Japan have never beaten Australia but did come close later in 2025. I believe the hosts will get within the +15.5 handicap.

  • Japan lost their last 2 matches.
  • Japan have lost their last 3 matches against Australia.
  • Australia won their last match.

Head to Head


Australia have a 100% win record against Japan. They last met in November 2025, a match Australia won by four points.

Japan Form


Japan started the Nations Championship with a superb performance, beating Italy 27-10 on home soil. It was a surprise result for many given Italy's performances in the 2026 Six Nations.

Another credible performance followed in Australia where japan lost 36-20 to Ireland. It was late in the game before the Irish pulled away.

Their last match didn't go so well though, with the Brave Blossoms going down 42-15 to France.

Australia Form


Australia had a tough start to the Nations Championship against Ireland. They were very good in the first half, building a 13-point lead but ultimately couldn't hold on for the win.

The same pattern occured the following week against France - a top class first half was followed by a second half littered with errors as France ran out victors.

The Wallabies did bounce back in the final game against Italy, winning 57-10 in Perth. That will hopefully give the team confidence along with a new coaching staff that has taken over.

Verdict

Japan are backed to get within 15.5 points.

Best Bet1: Japan +15.5 Handicap @1,91 at 10bet - 4 Units
Japan +15.5
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ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town. 


He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport. 

Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa. 

Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf. 


He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.

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