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Samoa vs Belgium Predictions - Samoa set to reach 2027 Rugby World Cup

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Last updated: 2 hours ago

In an intense battle for a spot in the 2027 Rugby World Cup, Samoa is seen as a strong favorite over Belgium, with a handicap set at 27.5. Despite Samoa's formidable form, with recent convincing wins, Belgium hopes to make history and qualify for their first World Cup. Although Belgium achieved draws and tight wins recently, experts believe they may challenge the handicap but lack the depth to win. Samoa's experience may ultimately tip the scales in their favor.

Simon Lewis 2 hours ago
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  • Samoa is the favorite with a 27.5 handicap in this must-win match.
  • Belgium aims to make their first-ever Rugby World Cup appearance.
  • Samoa's performance so far suggests they are poised to secure victory.
Samoa 2023 rugby world cup
Samoa to book 2027 World Cup spot (Getty Images)

Samoa vs Belgium Predictions


Samoa are huge favourites with the handicap set at 27.5 for this match. The math is simple, the winner will go to the 2027 Rugby World Cup, and the loser goes home…and stays there.
  • Samoa vs Belgium Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Samoa Form
  • Belgium Form

My best bet is for Belgium to get within the 27.5 handicap but ultimately, they just don’t have the quality to challenge.

  • Samoa have won their last 2 matches by 38 & 18 points.
  • Belgium have won their last 2 matches.

Head to Head


These two sides have never met before.

Samoa Form


Samoa are certainly not used to being in this position to qualify for the Rugby World Cup, however, they are clear favourites heading into this decider.

While Samoa have the pedigree, they will be under huge pressure with some much hanging on this game. Samoa began the four-team tournament with a 48-10 win over Brazil before seeing off Namibia 26-8 last weekend.

Neither performance was perfect, but they were also never in any real trouble during the games. They will fancy their chances against Belgium on Tuesday.

Belgium Form


Belgium have never made it to the Rugby World Cup before and will be hoping to cause a huge shock in Dubai on Tuesday. However, just getting to this stage, like with Brazil, has already been a huge achievement for the side.

Belgium set their stall out in the first match, upsetting the odds to beat Namibia 22-17. That put them in a good position to get to the final game and still have a chance.

The European side almost blew their chance last weekend though. After a fast start against Brazil, Belgium allowed the South Americans back into it with poor discipline, something that cost them a red card, too. However, in the dyeing embers of the game, Belgium went over to score and secure a narrow victory.

Verdict

Belgium are backed to cover the +27.5 handicap.

Best Bet1: Belgium +27.5 Handicap $1.91 at Easybet - 4 Units
Belgium +27.5
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18 Nov 2025

Samoa v Belgium

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