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Lyon vs Castres Predictions - Lyon to come out on top against Castres

brad-newcomb
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Last updated: 41 minutes ago

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Brad Newcomb 41 minutes ago
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  • Lyon have won their last four home matches against Castres.
  • Castres have struggled lately, losing 5 of their last 6 games.
  • Lyon are favoured to cover the -8.5 handicap in this clash.
Lyon
Lyon have often defeated Castres at home in recent meetings (Getty Images)

Lyon vs Castres Predictions


Lyon have often defeated Castres at home in recent matchups and they have played their best rugby at home this season. Castres have been struggling to win their matches lately. 

  • Lyon have won 2 of their last 5 fixtures (Top 14).
  • Lyon have lost 2 of their last 5 home games in all competitions.
  • Lyon have won 4 consecutive matches against Castres. 
  • Castres have lost 5 of their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
  • Castres have won 2 of their last 5 away matches in all competitions.
  • Castres have won 2 consecutive games against Lyon.

Head to Head


Castres have the advantage with 14 victories to seven over Lyon, including one draw in 22 meetings.

Lyon lost 36-22 away to Castres earlier this season. 

Lyon Form 


Lyon were outplayed in the second half against Clermont last weekend, losing 41-23 away from home after leading 13-10 at the break. 

Lyon have been in decent nick at home in the Top 14 this season. They defeated Racing 92 32-7, Stade Francais 42-37, Perpignan 44-19, lost 36-19 to La Rochelle, beat Clermont 43-24, lost 41-19 to Toulouse, defeated Montauban 73-12, and drew 13-13 with Toulon before losing 21-7 to Bordeaux. 

Lyon are in 12th place in the Top 14 table with 44 points from 21 games. 

Lyon have lacked consistency lately, but they will have the belief they can beat Castres at home, having defeated their opponents four times in a row on their home turf.

Castres Form 


Castres had no answer in the second half against Toulouse last weekend, losing 42-25 at home after leading 19-14 at half-time. 

Castres have struggled away from home in the Top 14 this season. They lost 16-12 to Toulon, 59-12 to Toulouse, beat Montauban 32-28, lost 63-14 to Clermont, defeated La Rochelle 19-17, lost 33-31 to Montpellier, 33-15 to Stade Francais, and beat Bayonne 13-10 before losing 57-32 to Bordeaux, and 52-21 to Racing 92.  

Castres are 10th in the Top 14 standings with 47 points from 21 matches. 

Castres have lost five of their last six fixtures and have had little success away from home this season, although they did beat Lyon at home earlier in their campaign. 

Team News


Lyon

Jiuta Wainiqolo has scored an impressive 16 tries in the 2025/26 Top 14. 

Leo Berdeu has scored 106 points for his club this season.

Castres 

Théo Chabouni and Christian Ambadiang have scored six tries each in this edition of the Top 14.

Pierre Popelin has scored 91 points so far. 

Verdict

Lyon are on a winning streak against Castres at home and are tipped to cover the -8.5 handicap.

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