Montpellier vs Stade Francais Predictions - Montpellier to sink Stade Francais in Top 14 semi-final clash

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 2 hours ago

Brad Newcomb 2 hours ago

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Montpellier have won 10 of their last 11 Top 14 games.
Stade Francais have lost 7 of their last 10 away fixtures.
Montpellier are tipped to cover the -4.5 handicap in the Top 14 semi-final.

Montpellier are on a winning streak in the Top 14 (Getty Images)

Montpellier vs Stade Francais Predictions

Montpellier vs Stade Francais Predictions
Head to Head
Montpellier Form
Stade Francais Form
Team News

Montpellier secured an automatic semi-final after a successful regular season campaign. Stade Francais produced a dominant performance last weekend to reach this season's semi-finals, but they were outplayed in their previous match against Montpellier.

Montpellier have won 10 of their 11 matches (Top 14).
Montpellier have won 2 of their last 3 games against Stade Francais.
Stade Francais have lost 7 of their last 10 away fixtures (Top 14).
Stade Francais lost by 37 points to Montpellier in their last meeting.

Head to Head

Montpellier have a slight edge with 18 victories to 16 against Stade Francais, including two draws in 36 meetings.

Montpellier defeated Stade Francais 44-7 at home in the last meeting between the two clubs.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier Hérault performed well throughout their Top 14 campaign, winning 17 matches, losing eight, and drawing one.

Les Cistes ended their campaign in second place in the standings with 82 points from 26 matches.

Montpellier have been in excellent form at home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They lost 27-17 to Toulon and defeated Toulouse 44-14, La Rochelle 37-13, Lyon 35-13, lost 9-7 to Clermont before beating Bordeaux 28-24, Castres 33-31, Bayonne 62-22, Stade Francais 44-7, Racing 92 41-17, Perpignan 42-31, Montauban 59-7, and Pau 26-18.

Montpellier Hérault have been in fine form lately, winning ten of their last 11 league matches, including six in a row. They also defeated Stade Francais by 37 points in their previous meeting, giving them the edge needed to emerge victorious in their semi-final clash.

Stade Francais Form

Stade Francais dominated proceedings in their Top 14 quarter-final match against La Rochelle last weekend, winning 45-5 after leading 19-0 at half-time.

Les Soldats Roses have struggled to win away from home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They lost 34-10 to Pau, 42-37 to Lyon, defeated Perpignan 28-11, lost 29-24 to Castres, 29-17 to Toulouse, 36-32 to Clermont, 35-24 to Bayonne, beat Bordeaux 33-28, lost 44-7 to Montpellier, defeated Toulon 46-27, lost 47-20 to Racing 92, and beat Montauban 73-25 before losing 27-22 to La Rochelle.

Stade Francais have come good in recent months; however, the Parisian club have not been at their best playing on the road during this campaign, and have lost seven of their last ten away fixtures.

Team News

Montpellier

Hugo Miotti has scored 240 points for Montpellier this season.

Cristopher Tolofua has scored nine tries in this edition of the Top 14.

Stade Francais

Louis Carbonel has scored 283 points in the 2025/26 Top 14 season.

Leo Barre has dotted down over the try-line 12 times this season.

Verdict

Montpellier v Stade Francais

Montpellier have been in fine form in the Top 14 this season and are tipped to cover the -4.5 handicap in their semi-final clash against Stade Francais.