Montpellier vs Toulon Predictions - Montpellier to prevail against Toulon at home

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 04 Sep 2025

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Brad Newcomb 04 Sep 2025

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Montpellier have won 4 of last 6 home games vs Toulon.
Toulon finished 3rd but have lost 6 away matches in a row.
Montpellier tipped to cover the -3.5 handicap.

Expired

Montpellier have had success agains Toulon at home in recent seasons (Getty Images)

Montpellier vs Toulon Predictions

Montpellier vs Toulon Predictions
Head to Head
Montpellier Form
Montpellier Team News & Injuries
Toulon Form
Toulon Team News & Injuries

Montpellier were in solid touch at home towards their previous campaign and have an excellent record against Toulon at home. Toulon reached the semi-finals last season, but they are on a losing streak away from home.

Montpellier have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
Montpellier have won 3 of their last 5 home fixtures.
Montpellier have won 4 of their last 6 home games against Toulon.
Toulon have lost 6 consecutive away fixtures.
Toulon beat Montpellier twice last season.

Head to Head

Toulon have a slight edge with 19 victories to 16 against Montpellier, including three draws in 38 meetings.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier had a decent 2024/25 Top 14 season but missed out on qualifying for the European Rugby Champions Cup and will compete in the upcoming European Rugby Challenge Cup.

Montpellier placed 9th in the Top 14 standings with 56 points from 26 games.

Montpellier beat Stade Francias 38-32, lost 24-17 to Gloucester, defeated Perpignan 19-13, and Bordeaux 46-27 before losing 23-10 to Clermont in their last five home games last season.

Montpellier have a tricky season opener against Toulon, having failed to beat them in their previous campaign. However, they have won four of their last six meetings against Toulon on their home turf.

Montpellier Team News & Injuries

Montpellier have added the following players to their roster for the 2025/26 Top 14 season: Valentin Welsch, Ricky Riccitelli, Adam Beard, Matthieu Uhila, Alex Masibaka, Langi Gleeson, Ali Price, Lennox Anyanwu, Justo Piccardo, Karl Marton, Donovan Taofifenua, and Tom Banks.

Toulon Form

Toulon had an excellent 2024/25 Top season, finishing third in the standings to qualify for the playoffs. They beat Castres in the qualifier but lost to Bordeaux in the semi-finals.

Toulon placed 3rd in the Top 14 table with 72 points from 26 matches.

Toulon lost 28-26 to Castres, 29-19 to Vannes, 25-21 to Pau, 18-10 to Bayonne, and 39-24 to Bordeaux in their final five away matches last season.

Toulon struggled to secure victories on their travels towards the end of last season, but they did achieve the league double over Montpellier.

Toulon Team News & Injuries

Toulon have acquired the following players for the upcoming 2025/26 Top 14 season: Nikolas Narmania, Zach Mercer, Clovis Le Bail, Mateo Garcia, Ignacio Brex, and Mathis Ferte.

Verdict

Montpellier v Toulon

Montpellier have had success against Toulon at home recently and are tipped to cover the -3.5 handicap.

Montpellier -3.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.