Nigeria vs Morocco Predictions - Nigeria can upset the odds against the hosts

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 13 Jan 2026

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John Eastwood 13 Jan 2026

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Nigeria's offense is strong with Osimhen, Lookman and Adams scoring goals.
Morocco remains formidable at home with a reliance on Brahim Diaz.
Predictions favor Nigeria to potentially upset Morocco in a thrilling AFCON matchup.

Morocco last met Nigeria in the 2018 African Nations Championship final (Getty)

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Nigeria vs Morocco Predictions

Morocco are in great form and at home. They are also favourites to win the tournament, but Nigeria have hit a purple patch at AFCON. The Super Eagles are the best attacking side in the competition and can upset the odds in Rabat.

Nigeria vs Morocco Predictions
Head to Head
Nigeria Form
Nigeria Predicted Lineup & News
Morocco Form
Morocco Predicted Lineup & News

Nigeria are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 matches.
Nigeria have won by 2+ goals in their last 3 matches.
Nigeria’s Victor Osimhen has scored 18 goals in his last 18 matches.
Morocco are undefeated in their last 22 matches.
Morocco have won 15 of their last 18 matches.
Morocco’s Brahim Diaz has scored in his last 5 matches.

Head to Head

Morocco and Nigeria have met on 10 occasions with Morocco winning six times. Nigeria have three wins along with a sigular draw.

Nigeria Form

Nigeria failed to keep a clean sheet in the group stage but still won all three matches. Alex Iwobi assisted Semi Ajayi and Ademola Lookman in a 2-1 win against Tanzania.

Lookman and Victor Osimhen found the net to build a 3-0 lead over Tunisia, they conceded twice in a 3-2 victory. Uganda were reduced to 10 men before the hour mark, Raphael Onyedika scoring twice as Eric Chelle’s side won 3-1 in Fez.

The Super Eagles’ defensive concerns were eased in a comprehensive 4-0 win against Mozambique. They had 2.82-0.10 xG with their front three on fire, Lookman and Akor Adams scoring twice and Osimhen bagging a brace.

Osimhen opened the scoring in the quarter-finals, a 2-0 victory against Algeria. Adams found the net again as Nigeria ended with 3.36-0.13 xG, the second straight match they gave their opponents next to no chance.

Nigeria Predicted Lineup & News

Nigeria (4-3-1-2) Stanley Nwabali; Bright Osayi-Samuel, Semi Ajayi, Raphael Onyedika, Bruno Onyemaechi; Frank Onyeka, Raphael Onyedika, Alex Iwobi; Ademola Lookman; Victor Osimhen, Akor Adams

Wilfred Ndidi is suspended here with Raphael Onyedika set to start in midfield.

Morocco Form

Morocco have conceded only one goal at AFCON where they remain tournament favourites. They beat Comoros 2-0 before ending with 15-5 shots and 2.82-0.91 xG in a 1-1 draw against Mali, Brahim Diaz scoring in both wins.

The Atlas Lions dominated Zambia in their final group game, Ayoub El Kaabi scoring twice and Diaz finding the net again in a 3-0 victory.

The Real Madrid winger continued his fine form against Tanzania, netting in a comprehensive 1-0 win. Walid Regragui’s side had 71% possession and 12-4 shots in the Round of 16 which included 4-1 on target.

Morocco got the job done against Cameroon in the quarter-finals, winning 2-0 in Rabat. It was little surprise that Diaz scored first, Ismael Saibari wrapping it up in the second half as their opponents ended with 0.46 xG.

Morocco Predicted Lineup & News

Morocco (4-2-3-1) Yassine Bounou; Achraf Hakimi, Nayef Aguerd, Adam Masina, Noussair Mazraoui; Sofyan Amrabat, Neil El Aynaoui; Brahim Diaz, Ismael Saibari, Abdessamad Ezzalzouli; Ayoub El Kaabi

Romain Saiss picked up a hamstring injury against Comoros and remains doubtful. Expect Adam Masina to continue partnering Nayef Aguerd in central defence.

Sofyan Amrabat came off the bench against Cameroon and could return to the starting side here.

Verdict

Nigeria v Morocco

Morocco have been reliant on Brahim Diaz at AFCON while Nigeria’s Victor Osimhen, Ademola Lookman and Akor Adams have combined to score nine goals. The home crowd could be silenced in Rabat where the Super Eagles can spoil the party.