Scarlets vs Pau Predictions - Pau set to secure first win this edition of the Investec Champions Cup

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 08 Jan 2026

Brad Newcomb 08 Jan 2026

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Pau have won 5 of their last 8 fixtures.
Scarlets have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
Pau are predicted to cover the +8.5 handicap.

Pau have beenin decent nick this season (Getty Images)

The Scarlets lost their opening European Rugby Champions Cup fixtures and have struggled to win their home matches lately. Pau also had no answer in their first two games, but have played solid rugby this season.

Pau have won 5 of their last 8 fixtures in all competitions.
Pau have won 2 of their last 5 away games in all competitions.
Scarlets have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures in all competitions.
Scarlets have lost 4 of their last 5 home matches in all competitions.

Head to Head

Scarlets and Pau meet for the first time in a competitive match.

Scarlets Form

The Scarlets lost a close-fought European Rugby Champions Cup opener against Bristol 16-17 at home, and were thumped 50-21 by Bordeaux away from home.

The Scarlets have played four home fixtures in the URC this season. They lost 34-21 to Munster, 34-0 to the Stormers, and defeated the Glasgow Warriors 23-0 before losing 26-19 to the Ospreys.

The Scarlets have not been at their best lately, and face a tricky test against a Pau side that has done well in the Top 14 this season.

Pau Form

Pau lost their opening European Rugby Champions Cup fixture to the Northampton Saints 35-27 at home before being thrashed 61-12 by Bristol away from home.

Pau have had some success in their last five Top 14 matches away from home. They lost 33-17 to Toulon, 15-10 to Racing 92 and defeated Bordeaux 34-33 and Montauban 53-17 before losing to Lyon 22-17.

Pau have been enjoying a solid season so far, and will quietly fancy their chances of recording their first win in the competition when they travel to take on a lacklustre Scarlets side.

Team News

Scarlets

Head coach Dwayne Peel has commented on the reason his team has struggled so far this season: "Are we happy with where we are this season? No. Are we happy with where we finished last season? Yes, we were probably on track to where we wanted to go, but we haven't kicked on this season. There are reasons behind that, we've had some high profile injuries etc."

Sam Lousi, Jake Ball, Taine Plumtree, and Blair Murray are expected to return to the starting XV.

Pau

Gregoire Arfeuil has crossed the try line twice in this edition of the European Rugby Champions Cup.

Axel Desperes has landed three conversions and two penalties in the competition so far.

Verdict

Scarlets v Pau

Pau come into this match in better shape than the Scarlets and are tipped to cover the +8.5 handicap.

Pau +8.5

Handicap

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Pau Win

Result

$3.75 - 1 Unit

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