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Tasman vs Wellington Predictions - Tasman too good for Wellington

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 02 Sep 2026

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Brad Newcomb 02 Sep 2026

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Tasman have won 5 of their last 6 home matches vs Wellington.
Wellington are winless this season.
Tasman are favoured to cover the -19.5 handicap.

Expired

Tasman often beat Wellington at home in the NPC (Getty Images)

Tasman dropped points in their previous NPC fixture but have an excellent record against Wellington at home. Wellington have been struggling this season, losing all their matches.

Tasman have won 3 of their last 5 fixtures.
Tasman have won 5 of their last 6 home matches against Wellington.
Wellington have lost 7 consecutive games.

Head to Head

Tasman have the advantage over Wellington, with nine victories to two in 11 meetings in the National Provincial Championship.

Tasman Form

Tasman scored a converted try and a penalty in the first half against Northland last weekend, going into the break with the score level at 10-10.

The away side could not add any more points to their tally in the second stanza, losing 20-10 away to Northland.

Earlier in their season, the Makos edged North Harbour 31-29 at home and lost 50-19 away to Hawke's Bay before beating Counties Manukau 50-35 away and Southland 46-17 at home.

Tasman are seventh in the National Provincial Championship standings with 15 points from five games.

Tasman will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways when they host Wellington this weekend, as their opponents have lost all five league fixtures this season.

Wellington Form

Wellington had a solid first half against Counties Manukau last weekend, scoring three converted tries, but went into the break trailing 21-26.

The Wellington Lions added two converted tries to their score in the second half, but came away empty-handed, losing 46-35 to Counties Manukau at home.

Before that, Wellington lost 52-33 to Hawke's Bay at home, 34-31 away to Auckland, 47-7 to North Harbour at home, and 61-22 away to Otago.

The Lions are last in the NPC table with four points after five rounds.

Wellington have had a poor campaign so far, and will have to improve their form to beat Tasman, as they have suffered five defeats in their last six visits to their opponents' stadium.

Team News

Tasman Mako

Eli Oudenryn scored the only try for his club against Northland last weekend.

Con: William Havili landed a conversion and a penalty in the match.

Starting XV: Ryan Coxon, Eli Oudenryn, Vea Taumoefolau, Jake Frost, Antonio Shalfoon, Lopeti Faifua, Johnny Lee, Tayne Hemopo, Mitch Drumond, William Havili, Nic Sauria, David Havili, Cooper Roberts, Kyren Taumoefolau, Maloni Kunawave

Replacements: Richie Asiata, Tom Heywood, Jake Wetere, Hunter Leppien, Rory Scott, Wil Thornalley, Cooper Grant, Macca Springer

Wellington Lions

Alex Hewitt, Reo Matsushita, Hugo Plummer, Divad Palu, and Riley Williams each scored a try against Counties Manukau last weekend.

Cameron Burgess slotted all five conversions in the match.

Starting XV: Geordie Bean, Penieli Poasa, Alex Hewitt, Caleb Delany (C), Hugo Plummer, Dominic Ropeti, Du’Plessis Kirifi, Rupeni Raviyawa, Riley Williams, Callum Harkin, William Davis, Losi Filipo, Matt Proctor, Divad Palu, Cameron Burgess

Replacements: Kaleb Saxon, Jake Turnbull, Bradley Crichton, Murphy Taramai, Matolu Petaia, Logan Henry, Jackson Ropata, Reo Matsushita

Verdict

Tasman v Wellington

Tasman have a superior record against Wellington at home and are tipped to cover the -19.5 handicap.

Tasman -19.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.