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Australia vs Wales U20 Predictions - Australia set to beat Wales in fifth-place semi-final

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 11 Jul 2026

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Brad Newcomb 11 Jul 2026

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Australia have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
Wales finished second in their pool but have struggled against Australia historically.
Australia are favoured to cover the handicap.

Expired

Australia have a solid record against Wales (Getty Images)

Australia came up short in their final pool match but had been in fine form before that result. Wales have had a solid World Rugby U20 Championship campaign so far but have historically struggled to beat Australia.

Australia have won 3 of their last 4 fixtures.
Australia have won 3 of their last 4 matches against Wales.
Wales have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Head to Head

Australia have the advantage over Wales, with four victories to one in five meetings since 2015.

Australia U20 Form

Australia fell short in their bid to reach the 2026 World Rugby U20 Championship semi-finals on Tuesday, losing 34-29 to France after trailing 22-12 at half-time.

Earlier in their tournament, Australia crushed Spain 90-22 and thumped Fiji 53-17 in their opening group stage fixtures.

The Junior Wallabies placed second overall in Pool D with 12 points from three matches.

Australia have been in solid form during the tournament, and will fancy their chances in their fifth-place semi-final match against Wales, having won three of their last four matches against their opponents.

Wales U20 Form

Wales had no answer in their final Pool A match against the defending champions, South Africa, losing 52-33 after trailing 26-14 at the break.

Before that result, Wales edged Georgia 25-24 in their opening 2026 World Rugby U20 Championship match before thrashing Uruguay 47-0.

The Welsh finished second in Pool A with ten points from three games.

Wales have had success in the tournament, but will find the going tough against Australia, as their opponents have been playing well and are scoring plenty of tries.

Team News

Australia

Treyvon Pritchard, Luca Cleverley, Wallace Charlie, and Edwin Langi scored a try each against France on Tuesday.

Finn Mackay slotted three conversions in the match, while Charlie Bird landed one penalty.

Forwards: Ewald Kruger, Eli Langi, Jacob Job, Charles Hollyman, John Grenfell, Kenneth Harris, William Ross, Tom Robinson, Edwin Langi, Matthew Sauao, Isaac Fonua, Toby Brial, Luca Cleverley, Marshall Le Maitre, TJ Talaileva, Kingbenjamin Swerling-Finaipepe, Lehopoame Leota

Backs: Chayse Geros, Finn Mackay, Taione Taka, Treyvon Pritchard, Angus Grover, Sam Blank, Jonty Fowler, Zach Fittler, Leo Jaques, Charlie Bird, Tom Farr-Jones, Cooper Watters, Wallace Charlie

Wales

Caio James, Steffan Emanuel, Osian Lewis, Tom Bowen, and Lewis Edwards each crossed the try line in the match against South Africa on Tuesday.

Carwyn Leggatt-Jones landed three conversions, while Lloyd Lucas kicked over one.

Forwards: Tom Howe, James Talamai, Oscar Thomas, Dylan James, George Tuckley, Yestyn Cook, Isaac Godfrey, Jac Pritchard, Tom Cottle, Luke Evans, Will Evans, Osian B Williams, Deian Gwynne, Caio James, Evan Minto, Sam Morgan, Alex Ridgeway, Osian Williams

Backs: Sion Davies, Cai Gealy, Carwyn Leggatt-Jones, Lloyd Lucas, Bailey Cutts, Osian Darwin-Lewis, Steffan Emanuel, Jack Hoskins, Brogan Leary, Tom Bowen, Dylan Scott, Rhys Cummings, Lewis Edwards

Verdict

Australia v Wales U20

Australia have been in solid form at the 2026 World Rugby U20 Championship and are tipped to cover the -15.5 handicap in their fifth-place semi-final match against Wales.

Australia -15.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.