Spain vs Chile Predictions - Spain to come out on top at home in Nations Cup clash
Spain are tipped to cover a -8.5 handicap against Chile in their upcoming Nations Cup fixture. Spain recently defeated Uruguay 18-12 at home, marking a return to form, and have a favourable head-to-head record against Chile, including two wins from their last four meetings. Spain's squad is bolstered by returning players from French clubs, while Chile come into the match after a 36-15 loss to Portugal. Spain's defensive performance and home advantage are key factors supporting this handicap selection.
- Spain are tipped to cover a -8.5 handicap against Chile.
- Spain have home advantage and a favourable head-to-head record.
- Spain recently beat Uruguay, while Chile lost to Portugal.
Spain to come out on top at home against Chile (Getty Images)
Spain vs Chile Predictions
Spain are favourites to defeat Chile at home after returning to winning ways against Uruguay last weekend. Spain has a favourable head-to-head record and home advantage, and is backed to cover a -8.5 handicap.
- Spain has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 1 of their 4 Nations Cup matches.
- Spain defeated Uruguay 18-12 at home in their previous match.
- Spain has scored 114 points in their 4 Nations Cup matches.
- Spain has won their last 2 meetings with Chile.
- Chile has won 2 and lost 2 of their 4 Nations Cup matches.
- Chile lost 36-15 to Portugal away in their previous match.
- Chile has conceded 133 points in their 4 Nations Cup matches.
Head-to-Head
Spain has won two of their last four meetings with Chile.
Their most recent encounter was in June 2019, when Spain defeated Chile 29-22.
Spain Form
Spain defeated Uruguay 18-12 in their previous Nations Cup match at the Estadio Nacional Universidad Complutense in Madrid on 7 November 2026.
Spain trailed 12-11 late in the contest before Gauthier Minguillon scored the winning try in the 75th minute, converted by Iñaki Mateu, to secure a narrow home victory.
Spain had mixed results in their three Nations Cup matches in July, defeating Tonga 32-19, drawing 42-42 with Canada, and losing 29-22 to the USA.
Spain has won two, drawn one, and lost one of their four Nations Cup matches, scoring 114 points and conceding 102. Their victory over Uruguay was their first home match of the tournament.
Chile Form
Chile lost 36-15 to Portugal in their previous Nations Cup match in Lisbon on 7 November 2026.
Chile remained competitive in the first half, trailing 17-15 at the break, but Portugal dominated the second half, scoring three unanswered tries to secure a comfortable victory.
Chile won two of their three Nations Cup matches in July, defeating Romania 48-31 and Hong Kong China 38-17 before losing 49-22 to Georgia.
Chile has won two and lost two of their four Nations Cup matches, scoring 123 points and conceding 133. Their defeat to Portugal was their first away match of the competition.
Team News
Spain head coach Pablo Bouza has named a 33-man squad for the clash against Chile, with several players returning from clubs in France.
Gauthier Maravat has been included in the squad and could make his international debut, while Matheo Triki has also earned a call-up. Jon Zabala captained Spain against Uruguay, with Gauthier Minguillon scoring the winning try.
Chile head coach Pablo Lemoine has named his touring squad for the November Nations Cup matches against Portugal, Spain, and Zimbabwe.
Verdict
Spain has a favourable head-to-head record and home advantage, and is backed to cover a -8.5 handicap.
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